This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 50% to break even | 44%–95% | 30 points betterwon 80%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 50% to break even | 35%–81% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 50% to break even | 46%–83% | 16 points betterwon 67%, needs 50% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 50% to break even | 41%–90% | 21 points betterwon 71%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 9 of 1464%needs 50% to break even | 43%–81% | 14 points betterwon 64%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 14 of 2167%needs 50% to break even | 49%–81% | 16 points betterwon 67%, needs 50% |
Tonight WMU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TOL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 45.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 45.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 35 | +10.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 45.5 game total, WMU gamesWestern Michigan Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU to win moneylineWestern Michigan Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |
| Oct 10 |
| 45 |
| +0.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 37 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 39 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 49 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 63 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 25 | +20.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 19 | 47 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 36 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 25 | 52 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 18 | 54 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 11 | 30 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 45 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 43 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 42 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 24 | +21.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 61 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 27 | +18.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 38 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 63 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | 29 | +16.5 | Won |
| 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 51% to break even |
| -29.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 40% to break even |
| 7.8Good |
| WMU +3.5 spreadWestern Michigan Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -112at BetMGM | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 53% to break even | 4.2Good |
| WMU -0.5 1st half spreadWestern Michigan Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 42% to break even | -2.6Not beating its price |
| WMU +0.5 1st half spreadWestern Michigan Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 52% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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