This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 40% to break even | 44%–95% | 40 points betterwon 80%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 40% to break even | 54%–93% | 40 points betterwon 80%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 40% to break even | 59%–92% | 40 points betterwon 80%, needs 40% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 40% to break even | 41%–90% | 31 points betterwon 71%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 10 of 1471%needs 40% to break even | 49%–86% | 31 points betterwon 71%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 15 of 2171%needs 40% to break even | 54%–84% | 31 points betterwon 71%, needs 40% |
Tonight WMU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TOL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against wmu to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 7 | +7 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU +3.5 spreadWestern Michigan Broncos · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
| 31 |
| +31 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Sep 26 | -25 | -25 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 35 | +35 | Won |
| Sep 5 | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 19 | 35 | +35 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Nov 25 | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Nov 18 | 16 | +16 | Won |
| Nov 11 | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Oct 25 | -9 | -9 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 42 | +42 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 18 | +18 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 33 | +33 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Sep 13 | -38 | -38 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | -17 | -17 | Lost |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 53% to break even |
| 4.2Good |
| WMU -0.5 1st half spreadWestern Michigan Broncos · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 41% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, WMU gamesWestern Michigan Broncos · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | PIN-102at Pinnacle | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 50% to break even | -7.3Not beating its price |
| WMU +0.5 1st half spreadWestern Michigan Broncos · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 52% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, WMU gamesWestern Michigan Broncos · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -105at Hard Rock | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 51% to break even | -29.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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