This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 53% to break even | 65%–98% | 37 points betterwon 90%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 53% to break even | 67%–95% | 34 points betterwon 87%, needs 53% |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 53% to break even | 55%–97% | 33 points betterwon 86%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 11 of 1479%needs 53% to break even | 57%–91% | 26 points betterwon 79%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 17 of 2181%needs 53% to break even | 64%–91% | 28 points betterwon 81%, needs 53% |
Tonight WMU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TOL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against wmu +3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 7 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 31 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | -25 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 7 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 35 | +38.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 19 | 35 | +38.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 10 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 25 | 10 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 16 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 4 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -9 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 42 | +45.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 18 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 33 | +36.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | -38 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | -3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | -17 | -13.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU to win moneylineWestern Michigan Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | NV+150at Novig | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 40% to break even | 7.8Good | ||
| WMU -0.5 1st half spreadWestern Michigan Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 42% to break even | -2.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 45.5 game total, WMU gamesWestern Michigan Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | PIN-102at Pinnacle | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 50% to break even | -7.3Not beating its price | ||
| WMU +0.5 1st half spreadWestern Michigan Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 52% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 45.5 game total, WMU gamesWestern Michigan Broncos · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -105at Hard Rock | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 51% to break even | -29.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.