This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 55% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 55% to break even | 44%–87% | 15 points betterwon 70%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 55% to break even | 39%–78% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 55% to break even | 35%–88% | 12 points betterwon 67%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 6 of 1346%needs 55% to break even | 26%–68% | 9 points shortwon 46%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 10 of 1953%needs 55% to break even | 35%–70% | 2 points shortwon 53%, needs 55% |
Tonight NCSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against STAN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
NCSU points in each game against under 31.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | NCSU points | Beat 31.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 | 14 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 31 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 41 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 31 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 11 | 73 | -41.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 8 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 19 | 31 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 42 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 21 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 7 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 48 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 34 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 7 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 56 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 21 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 33 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 11 | 34 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 35 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | 24 | +7.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 team totalNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 67% to break even | -22.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 30.5 team totalNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 56% to break even | -13.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 31.5 team totalNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 34.5 team totalNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 41% to break even | -21.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.