This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 45% to break even | 44%–95% | 35 points betterwon 80%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 45% to break even | 27%–73% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 45% to break even | 33%–72% | 9 points betterwon 53%, needs 45% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 45% to break even | 35%–88% | 22 points betterwon 67%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 6 of 1346%needs 45% to break even | 26%–68% | 2 points betterwon 46%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 10 of 1953%needs 45% to break even | 35%–70% | 8 points betterwon 53%, needs 45% |
Tonight NCSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against STAN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 58.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 58.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 | 52 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 50.5 game total, NCSU gamesNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCSU -3.5 1st half spreadNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET |
| 59 |
| +0.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 72 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 66 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 11 | 73 | +14.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 42 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 19 | 38 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 61 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 21 | 32 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 48 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 84 | +25.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 87 | +28.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 43 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 66 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 44 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 78 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 11 | 58 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 66 | +7.5 | Won |
| Aug 28 | 41 | -17.5 | Lost |
| 6 of 13· last season46%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -18.2Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, NCSU gamesNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 46% to break even | -19.9Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 game total, NCSU gamesNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 49% to break even | -22.4Not beating its price |
| Under 55.5 game total, NCSU gamesNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 51% to break even | -24.5Not beating its price |
| Under 56.5 game total, NCSU gamesNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 55% to break even | -27.1Not beating its price |
| Under 57.5 game total, NCSU gamesNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 58% to break even | -29.5Not beating its price |
| Under 58.5 game total, NCSU gamesNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.8Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 game total, NCSU gamesNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 63% to break even | -27.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even |
| -6.8Not beating its price |
| NCSU -2.5 1st quarter spreadNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price |
| NCSU -0.5 1st quarter spreadNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even | -10.5Not beating its price |
| NCSU -9.5 1st half spreadNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 36% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price |
| NCSU -3.5 1st quarter spreadNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 44% to break even | -10.9Not beating its price |
| NCSU -2.5 1st half spreadNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 62% to break even | -12.3Not beating its price |
| NCSU -0.5 1st half spreadNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 63% to break even | -13.1Not beating its price |
| NCSU -4.5 1st half spreadNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 team totalNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 56% to break even | -13.9Not beating its price |
| NCSU -7.5 1st half spreadNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 40% to break even | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Under 31.5 team totalNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 55% to break even | -16.2Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 team totalNC State Wolfpack · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 38% to break even | -16.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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