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NCAAFGame line1st quarter spread
NCSU 1Q -3.5 (1st quarter spread)
Won9 of 15last 15 games · 60%
Best price+129Kalshi
Price needs43.7%wins to break even
Every game9 of 19this season and last
Trend score-10.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 44% to break even | 27%–86% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 44% to break even | 35%–81% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 44% to break even | 39%–78% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 44% to break even | 22%–78% | 6 points betterwon 50%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 6 of 1346%needs 44% to break even | 26%–68% | 2 points betterwon 46%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 9 of 1947%needs 44% to break even | 30%–65% | 4 points betterwon 47%, needs 44% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NCSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against STAN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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NCSU 1Q -3.5 (1st quarter spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1Q margin in each game against ncsu 1q -3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 |  WAKE | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  LOU | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  APP | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  VAN | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 11 |  RICH | 21 | +17.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 |  UVA | -10 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 19 |  MEM | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 |  UNC | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 21 |  FSU | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  MIA | -10 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  GT | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  PITT | -3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  ND | -7 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  CAM | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  VT | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  DUKE | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 11 | WAKE | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | UVA | -7 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Aug 28 |  ECU | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on NC State Wolfpack in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.