This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 52% to break even | 5%–56% | 32 points shortwon 20%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 52% to break even | 19%–65% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 52% to break even | 17%–54% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 52% to break even | 10%–59% | 23 points shortwon 29%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 4 of 1233%needs 52% to break even | 16%–57% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 6 of 1932%needs 52% to break even | 17%–50% | 20 points shortwon 32%, needs 52% |
Tonight STAN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against NCSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2Q margin in each game against stan 2q +2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 2Q margin | Beat -2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 14 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 20.5 team totalStanford Cardinal · Today 10:30 PM ET |
| -23 |
| -20.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | -11 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 4 | -11 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -18 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 7 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 3 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | -11 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | -3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | -6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | -8 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | -4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| 9 of 12· last season75%needs 40% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -0.7Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 team totalStanford Cardinal · Today 10:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -7.8Not beating its price |
| Under 7.5 1st quarter totalStanford Cardinal · Today 10:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.3Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 team totalStanford Cardinal · Today 10:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.4Not beating its price |
| STAN to win moneylineStanford Cardinal · Today 10:30 PM ET | PX+225at ProphetX | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 31% to break even | -9.9Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, STAN gamesStanford Cardinal · Today 10:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.3Not beating its price |
| STAN +1.5 spreadStanford Cardinal · Today 10:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 35% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, STAN gamesStanford Cardinal · Today 10:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.4Not beating its price |
| Over 12.5 3rd quarter totalStanford Cardinal · Today 10:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price |
| STAN +2.5 spreadStanford Cardinal · Today 10:30 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 37% to break even | -14.6Not beating its price |
| STAN -0.5 3rd quarter spreadStanford Cardinal · Today 10:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 35% to break even | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 1st half totalStanford Cardinal · Today 10:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 38% to break even | -15.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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