This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 55% to break even | 65%–100% | 45 points betterwon 100%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 55% to break even | 35%–81% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 55% to break even | 33%–72% | 1 points shortwon 53%, needs 55% |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 55% to break even | 55%–97% | 31 points betterwon 86%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 3 of 1225%needs 55% to break even | 10%–49% | 30 points shortwon 25%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 9 of 1947%needs 55% to break even | 30%–65% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 55% |
Tonight STAN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against NCSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
3Q total points in each game against over 12.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 3Q total points | Beat 12.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 14 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 14 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 14 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 17 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 14 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 4 | 14 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 14 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 21 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 0 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 16 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 3 | -9.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 3rd quarter totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.