This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 40% to break even | 27%–86% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 40% to break even | 35%–81% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 40% to break even | 46%–83% | 27 points betterwon 67%, needs 40% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 40% to break even | 29%–81% | 17 points betterwon 57%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 9 of 1275%needs 40% to break even | 51%–90% | 35 points betterwon 75%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 13 of 1968%needs 40% to break even | 50%–83% | 29 points betterwon 68%, needs 40% |
Tonight STAN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against NCSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
STAN points in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | STAN points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 34 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20.5 team totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STAN to win moneylineStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET |
| 7 |
| +13.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 3 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 34 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 7 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 | 6 | +14.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 37 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 20 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 15 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 7 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 3 | +17.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 65% to break even |
| -38.7Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 team totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 55% to break even | -30.8Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 team totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 40% to break even | -18.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 31% to break even |
| -9.9Not beating its price |
| Under 7.5 1st quarter totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, STAN gamesStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.3Not beating its price |
| STAN +1.5 spreadStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 35% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, STAN gamesStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.4Not beating its price |
| Over 12.5 3rd quarter totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price |
| STAN +2.5 spreadStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 38% to break even | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 1st half totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 38% to break even | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Under 55.5 game total, STAN gamesStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 game total, STAN gamesStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 1st quarter totalStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -16.2Not beating its price |
| Over 58.5 game total, STAN gamesStanford Cardinal · Tomorrow 10:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 45% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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