This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 52% to break even | 5%–56% | 32 points shortwon 20%, needs 52% | 13.2points |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 52% to break even | 13%–56% | 22 points shortwon 30%, needs 52% | 11.7points |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 52% to break even | 17%–54% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% | 11.1points |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 52% to break even | 12%–88% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% | 7points |
| Last season | 28 of 6642% |
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, on a back-to-back, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 13 of 33 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against under 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| 33%–53% |
| 9 points shortwon 42%, needs 52% |
| 10.8points |
| Every game | 29 of 6843%needs 52% to break even | 33%–53% | 9 points shortwon 43%, needs 52% | 10.6points |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 2 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 1 | 14 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 18 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 20 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 10 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 20 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 0 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 15 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 2 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 15 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 7 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 10 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 10 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 10 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 2 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 11 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 11 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 13 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 26 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 10 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 10 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 13 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 15 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 19 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 15 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 13 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 13 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 7 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 20 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 11 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 15 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 14 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 22 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| -116at Kalshi |
| 38 of 66· last season58%needs 54% to break even20 of 33 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -7.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.