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NBAPlayer propPoints
Tari Eason over 9.5 points
Won38 of 66last season · 58%
Best price-116Kalshi
Price needs53.7%wins to break even
Every game39 of 68this season and last
Trend score-7.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 54% to break even | 44%–95% | 26 points betterwon 80%, needs 54% | 13.2points |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 54% to break even | 44%–87% | 16 points betterwon 70%, needs 54% | 11.7points |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 54% to break even | 46%–83% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 54% | 11.1points |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 54% to break even | 12%–88% | 4 points shortwon 50%, needs 54% | 7points |
| Last season | 38 of 6658%needs 54% to break even | 47%–67% | 4 points betterwon 58%, needs 54% | 10.8points |
| Every game | 39 of 6857%needs 54% to break even | 47%–67% | 4 points betterwon 57%, needs 54% | 10.6points |
Games like tonight
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, on a back-to-back, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 20 of 33 on the road.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Tari Eason over 9.5 points1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against over 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 |  SA | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 21 |  DAL | 2 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 1 |  LAL | 14 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 29 | LAL | 18 | +8.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 | LAL | 20 | +10.5 | Won |
| Apr 24 | LAL | 5 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | LAL | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | LAL | 16 | +6.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  MEM | 20 | +10.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  MIN | 0 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Apr 9 |  PHI | 15 | +5.5 | Won |
| Apr 7 |  PHX | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 |  GS | 2 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  UTAH | 16 | +6.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  MIL | 5 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 31 |  NY | 17 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 29 |  NO | 15 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 | MEM | 16 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 | MIN | 3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  CHI | 4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  MIA | 7 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 |  ATL | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 | LAL | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 16 | LAL | 5 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 13 | NO | 4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 11 |  DEN | 8 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  TOR | 8 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | SA | 2 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 |  POR | 5 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 | GS | 9 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 2 |  WSH | 9 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | MIA | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 |  ORL | 2 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Feb 25 |  SAC | 8 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 23 | UTAH | 11 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 | NY | 11 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 |  CHA | 5 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 |  LAC | 13 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 10 | LAC | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 |  OKC | 26 | +16.5 | Won |
| Feb 4 |  BOS | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 2 |  IND | 9 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | DAL | 17 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | SA | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 26 | MEM | 17 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 | PHI | 13 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 20 | SA | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 | POR | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | POR | 15 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 5 | PHX | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | DAL | 19 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 |  BKN | 15 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 | IND | 13 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 |  CLE | 9 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 25 | LAL | 13 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | LAC | 7 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | SAC | 16 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 | POR | 3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | WSH | 20 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | MIL | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | SA | 11 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | MEM | 16 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | DAL | 15 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | BOS | 12 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | TOR | 14 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | BKN | 22 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 |  DET | 4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 21 | OKC | 3 | -6.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 pointsTari Eason · Today 8:30 PM ET |  -107at Kalshi | 28 of 66· last season42%needs 52% to break even13 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -32.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.