This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 51% to break even | 65%–100% | 49 points betterwon 100%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 10 of 10100%needs 51% to break even | 79%–100% | 49 points betterwon 100%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 15 of 15100%needs 51% to break even | 85%–100% | 49 points betterwon 100%, needs 51% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 51% to break even | 27%–100% | 49 points betterwon 100%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 73 of 9676%needs 51% to break even | 68%–82% | 25 points betterwon 76%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 74 of 9776%needs 51% to break even | 69%–83% | 25 points betterwon 76%, needs 51% |
Tonight DET plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 237.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 230.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 117.5 team totalDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 237.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 234 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 219 | +18.5 | Won | |
| May 15 | 209 | +28.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 230 | +7.5 | Won | |
| May 11 | 215 | +22.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 225 | +12.5 | Won | |
| May 7 | 204 | +33.5 | Won | |
| May 5 | 212 | +25.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 210 | +27.5 | Won | |
| May 1 | 172 | +65.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | 225 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 182 | +55.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 218 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 181 | +56.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 213 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 254 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 218 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 248 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 230 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 209 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 221 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 243 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 224 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 196 | +41.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 237 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 259 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 223 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 216 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 212 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 247 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 227 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 236 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 240 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 238 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 231 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 212 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 227 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 222 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 198 | +39.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 241 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 240 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 217 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 236 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 237 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 208 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 214 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 198 | +39.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 243 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 245 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 207 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 255 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 210 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 216 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 255 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 215 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 216 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 207 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 199 | +38.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 213 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 190 | +47.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 201 | +36.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 211 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 224 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 230 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 234 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 211 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 260 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 263 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 212 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 198 | +39.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 230 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 217 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 257 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 236 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 238 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 222 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 197 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 273 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 221 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 231 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 239 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 245 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 232 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 239 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 219 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 237 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 272 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 219 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 232 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 217 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 220 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 232 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 251 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 211 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 232 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 226 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 226 | +11.5 | Won | |
| 36 of 96· last season38%needs 66% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -54.4Not beating its price |
| Over 231.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 34 of 96· last season35%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -53.4Not beating its price |
| Over 232.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | -164at Polymarket | 30 of 96· last season31%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -51.9Not beating its price |
| Over 233.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | -151at Polymarket | 30 of 96· last season31%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -50.0Not beating its price |
| Over 235.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 29 of 96· last season30%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -48.4Not beating its price |
| Over 236.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 26 of 96· last season27%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -45.3Not beating its price |
| Over 237.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 23 of 96· last season24%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -45.7Not beating its price |
| Over 238.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 21 of 96· last season22%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -43.3Not beating its price |
| Over 239.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 19 of 96· last season20%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -42.4Not beating its price |
| Over 240.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 17 of 96· last season18%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -39.3Not beating its price |
| Over 241.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 16 of 96· last season17%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -39.0Not beating its price |
| Over 243.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 14 of 96· last season15%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.1Not beating its price |
| Over 245.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 12 of 96· last season13%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 49% to break even |
| 11.8Strong |
| Under 121.5 team totalDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 63% to break even | 10.0Strong |
| Under 115.5 team totalDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 42% to break even | 9.8Strong |
| Under 113.5 team totalDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 35% to break even | 7.0Good |
| Under 119.5 team totalDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 56% to break even | 5.8Good |
| DET +2.5 1st quarter spreadDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 60% to break even | 1.7Slight |
| DET -5.5 spreadDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 53 of 96· last season55%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.8Not beating its price |
| DET -4.5 spreadDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 55 of 96· last season57%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.2Not beating its price |
| DET +1.5 1st quarter spreadDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 61 of 96· last season64%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.4Not beating its price |
| DET -3.5 spreadDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 57 of 96· last season59%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.7Not beating its price |
| DET -2.5 spreadDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 63 of 96· last season66%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.7Not beating its price |
| DET to win moneylineDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +114at FanDuel | 67 of 96· last season70%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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