This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 56% to break even | 44%–95% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 56% to break even | 44%–87% | 14 points betterwon 70%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 56% to break even | 52%–87% | 18 points betterwon 73%, needs 56% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 56% to break even | 27%–100% | 44 points betterwon 100%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 61 of 9664%needs 56% to break even | 55%–71% | 8 points betterwon 64%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 62 of 9764%needs 56% to break even | 56%–71% | 8 points betterwon 64%, needs 56% |
Tonight DET plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q margin in each game against det 1q +1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 235.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat -1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | -9 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| May 15 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 11 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 7 | 7 | +8.5 | Won | |
| May 5 | 16 | +17.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 1 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | 12 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | -8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 14 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 10 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | -7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 9 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | -8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | -5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 21 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 9 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 11 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | -18 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 13 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | -15 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | -8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | -12 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 10 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 11 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | -13 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 5 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 9 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 8 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 13 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | -8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 20 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | -9 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 14 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | -9 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | -7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | -13 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 13 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | -5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | -8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 7 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 9 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 13 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 5 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 5 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 12 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 5 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | -2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 7 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | -7 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | -9 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | -9 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | -1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | -16 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 47% to break even |
| 25.5Very strong |
| Under 236.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +105at BetRivers | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 49% to break even | 24.7Very strong |
| Under 237.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 51% to break even | 23.2Very strong |
| Under 230.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 38% to break even | 22.3Very strong |
| Under 231.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 40% to break even | 21.4Very strong |
| Under 238.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 54% to break even | 20.7Very strong |
| Under 232.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 42% to break even | 19.9Very strong |
| Under 233.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 44% to break even | 18.0Very strong |
| Under 239.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 58% to break even | 17.9Very strong |
| Under 240.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 59% to break even | 17.1Very strong |
| Under 229.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 36% to break even | 15.7Very strong |
| Under 241.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Tomorrow 8:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 62% to break even | 15.0Strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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