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NBAGame line1st quarter spread
DET 1Q +2.5 (1st quarter spread)
Won13 of 15last 15 games · 87%
Best price-148Kalshi
Price needs59.7%wins to break even
Every game70 of 97this season and last
Trend score1.7Slight
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 60% to break even | 44%–95% | 20 points betterwon 80%, needs 60% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 60% to break even | 65%–98% | 30 points betterwon 90%, needs 60% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 60% to break even | 67%–95% | 27 points betterwon 87%, needs 60% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 60% to break even | 27%–100% | 40 points betterwon 100%, needs 60% |
| Last season | 69 of 9672%needs 60% to break even | 64%–79% | 12 points betterwon 72%, needs 60% |
| Every game | 70 of 9772%needs 60% to break even | 64%–79% | 12 points betterwon 72%, needs 60% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DET plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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DET 1Q +2.5 (1st quarter spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1Q margin in each game against det 1q +2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat -2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 |  BOS | -1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 |  CLE | -9 | -6.5 | Lost |
| May 15 | CLE | 2 | +4.5 | Won |
| May 13 | CLE | 2 | +4.5 | Won |
| May 11 | CLE | 3 | +5.5 | Won |
| May 9 | CLE | -2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 7 | CLE | 7 | +9.5 | Won |
| May 5 | CLE | 16 | +18.5 | Won |
| May 3 |  ORL | -2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 1 | ORL | 1 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 29 | ORL | 12 | +14.5 | Won |
| Apr 27 | ORL | 1 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | ORL | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 22 | ORL | 4 | +6.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | ORL | -8 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  IND | 14 | +16.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  CHA | 6 | +8.5 | Won |
| Apr 8 |  MIL | 6 | +8.5 | Won |
| Apr 6 | ORL | -2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 |  PHI | 10 | +12.5 | Won |
| Apr 2 |  MIN | -1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 |  TOR | 6 | +8.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 |  OKC | -7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 28 | MIN | 9 | +11.5 | Won |
| Mar 26 |  NO | -2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 |  ATL | -8 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  LAL | -4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 |  GS | -5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 |  WSH | 21 | +23.5 | Won |
| Mar 17 | WSH | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 | TOR | -1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 13 |  MEM | 2 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 | PHI | 9 | +11.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 |  BKN | 11 | +13.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 |  MIA | -18 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 | BKN | 13 | +15.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 |  SA | -15 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | CLE | 2 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | ORL | -3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 27 | CLE | -8 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Feb 25 | OKC | -12 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Feb 23 | SA | 3 | +5.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 |  CHI | -2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 |  NY | 2 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | TOR | 10 | +12.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 | CHA | -4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 6 | NY | 11 | +13.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 | WSH | -13 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 |  DEN | 5 | +7.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 | BKN | 9 | +11.5 | Won |
| Jan 30 | GS | 8 | +10.5 | Won |
| Jan 29 |  PHX | -4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 27 | DEN | 13 | +15.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 |  SAC | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 |  HOU | -8 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 21 | NO | 4 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 | BOS | -3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | IND | 20 | +22.5 | Won |
| Jan 15 | PHX | -9 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 |  LAC | 14 | +16.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | CHI | 6 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 5 | NY | 1 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | CLE | -9 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 | MIA | -7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 30 | LAL | 6 | +8.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 | LAC | -13 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 |  UTAH | 3 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | SAC | 13 | +15.5 | Won |
| Dec 22 |  POR | 4 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | CHA | 6 | +8.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 |  DAL | -5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 15 | BOS | -8 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 12 | ATL | 1 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | MIL | 7 | +9.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | POR | 2 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 | MIL | 9 | +11.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | ATL | -2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | MIA | 13 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | ORL | 2 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | BOS | 6 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | IND | 3 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | MIL | 4 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 18 | ATL | 5 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 | IND | 5 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 | PHI | 1 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | CHI | 12 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | WSH | -1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | PHI | 5 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | BKN | -2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | UTAH | -2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | MEM | 7 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | DAL | -3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | ORL | -7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | CLE | -9 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | BOS | -9 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | HOU | -1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | CHI | -16 | -13.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Detroit Pistons in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.