This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 58% to break even | 5%–56% | 38 points shortwon 20%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 58% to break even | 2%–35% | 48 points shortwon 10%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 58% to break even | 2%–25% | 51 points shortwon 7%, needs 58% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 58% to break even | 27%–100% | 42 points betterwon 100%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 38 of 9640%needs 58% to break even | 32%–48% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 39 of 9740%needs 58% to break even | 32%–49% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
Tonight DET plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
DET points in each game against over 117.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 113.5 team totalDetroit Pistons · Today 8:10 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 235.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Today 8:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | DET points | Beat 117.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 121 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 94 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| May 15 | 115 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 113 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 11 | 103 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 109 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| May 7 | 107 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| May 5 | 111 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 116 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 1 | 93 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 116 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 88 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 105 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 98 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 101 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 133 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 118 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 137 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 107 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 116 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 113 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 127 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 110 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 109 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 129 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 129 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 113 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 115 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 117 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 130 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 108 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 126 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 131 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 138 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 110 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 105 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 106 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 109 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 106 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 122 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 124 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 103 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 126 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 126 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 113 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 110 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 118 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 117 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 124 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 130 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 131 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 96 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 109 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 139 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 104 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 112 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 104 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 121 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 108 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 92 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 108 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 121 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 114 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 112 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 128 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 99 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 129 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 136 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 110 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 112 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 114 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 112 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 142 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 124 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 122 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 109 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 99 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 138 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 109 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 114 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 122 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 129 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 120 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 127 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 114 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 124 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 137 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 111 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 125 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 114 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 114 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 122 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 135 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 95 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 119 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 115 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 111 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 36% to break even |
| 6.1Good |
| Under 115.5 team totalDetroit Pistons · Today 8:10 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 42% to break even | 9.8Strong |
| Under 117.5 team totalDetroit Pistons · Today 8:10 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 49% to break even | 11.8Strong |
| Under 119.5 team totalDetroit Pistons · Today 8:10 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 56% to break even | 5.8Good |
| Under 121.5 team totalDetroit Pistons · Today 8:10 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 63% to break even | 10.0Strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 48% to break even |
| 24.9Very strong |
| Under 236.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Today 8:10 PM ET | +105at BetRivers | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 49% to break even | 24.7Very strong |
| Under 237.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Today 8:10 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 51% to break even | 23.2Very strong |
| Under 230.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Today 8:10 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 38% to break even | 22.3Very strong |
| Under 231.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Today 8:10 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 40% to break even | 21.4Very strong |
| Under 238.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Today 8:10 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 54% to break even | 20.7Very strong |
| Under 232.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Today 8:10 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 42% to break even | 19.9Very strong |
| Under 233.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Today 8:10 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 44% to break even | 18.0Very strong |
| Under 239.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Today 8:10 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 58% to break even | 17.9Very strong |
| Under 240.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Today 8:10 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 59% to break even | 17.1Very strong |
| Under 229.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Today 8:10 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 36% to break even | 15.7Very strong |
| Under 241.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Pistons · Today 8:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 62% to break even | 15.0Strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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