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Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat: under 235.5
Won15 of 15last 15 games · 100%
Best price+109Kalshi
Price needs47.8%wins to break even
Every game68 of 97this season and last
Trend score24.9Very strong
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 48% to break even | 65%–100% | 52 points betterwon 100%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 10 of 10100%needs 48% to break even | 79%–100% | 52 points betterwon 100%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 15 of 15100%needs 48% to break even | 85%–100% | 52 points betterwon 100%, needs 48% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 48% to break even | 27%–100% | 52 points betterwon 100%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 67 of 9670%needs 48% to break even | 62%–77% | 22 points betterwon 70%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 68 of 9770%needs 48% to break even | 62%–77% | 22 points betterwon 70%, needs 48% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DET plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat: under 235.52 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total points in each game against under 235.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 235.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 |  BOS | 234 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 |  CLE | 219 | +16.5 | Won |
| May 15 | CLE | 209 | +26.5 | Won |
| May 13 | CLE | 230 | +5.5 | Won |
| May 11 | CLE | 215 | +20.5 | Won |
| May 9 | CLE | 225 | +10.5 | Won |
| May 7 | CLE | 204 | +31.5 | Won |
| May 5 | CLE | 212 | +23.5 | Won |
| May 3 |  ORL | 210 | +25.5 | Won |
| May 1 | ORL | 172 | +63.5 | Won |
| Apr 29 | ORL | 225 | +10.5 | Won |
| Apr 27 | ORL | 182 | +53.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | ORL | 218 | +17.5 | Won |
| Apr 22 | ORL | 181 | +54.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | ORL | 213 | +22.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  IND | 254 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  CHA | 218 | +17.5 | Won |
| Apr 8 |  MIL | 248 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Apr 6 | ORL | 230 | +5.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 |  PHI | 209 | +26.5 | Won |
| Apr 2 |  MIN | 221 | +14.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 |  TOR | 243 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  OKC | 224 | +11.5 | Won |
| Mar 28 | MIN | 196 | +39.5 | Won |
| Mar 26 |  NO | 237 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  ATL | 259 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  LAL | 223 | +12.5 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  GS | 216 | +19.5 | Won |
| Mar 19 |  WSH | 212 | +23.5 | Won |
| Mar 17 | WSH | 247 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Mar 15 | TOR | 227 | +8.5 | Won |
| Mar 13 |  MEM | 236 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 12 | PHI | 240 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  BKN | 238 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  MIA | 231 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 | BKN | 212 | +23.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 |  SA | 227 | +8.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 | CLE | 222 | +13.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | ORL | 198 | +37.5 | Won |
| Feb 27 | CLE | 241 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Feb 25 | OKC | 240 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Feb 23 | SA | 217 | +18.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 |  CHI | 236 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 19 |  NY | 237 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | TOR | 208 | +27.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 | CHA | 214 | +21.5 | Won |
| Feb 6 | NY | 198 | +37.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 | WSH | 243 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 |  DEN | 245 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 | BKN | 207 | +28.5 | Won |
| Jan 30 | GS | 255 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 |  PHX | 210 | +25.5 | Won |
| Jan 27 | DEN | 216 | +19.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 |  SAC | 255 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Jan 23 |  HOU | 215 | +20.5 | Won |
| Jan 21 | NO | 216 | +19.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 | BOS | 207 | +28.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | IND | 199 | +36.5 | Won |
| Jan 15 | PHX | 213 | +22.5 | Won |
| Jan 10 |  LAC | 190 | +45.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | CHI | 201 | +34.5 | Won |
| Jan 5 | NY | 211 | +24.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | CLE | 224 | +11.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 | MIA | 230 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 30 | LAL | 234 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 | LAC | 211 | +24.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 |  UTAH | 260 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | SAC | 263 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Dec 22 |  POR | 212 | +23.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | CHA | 198 | +37.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 |  DAL | 230 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 15 | BOS | 217 | +18.5 | Won |
| Dec 12 | ATL | 257 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | MIL | 236 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | POR | 238 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | MIL | 222 | +13.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | ATL | 197 | +38.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | MIA | 273 | -37.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | ORL | 221 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | BOS | 231 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | IND | 239 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | MIL | 245 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 18 | ATL | 232 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 | IND | 239 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | PHI | 219 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | CHI | 237 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 10 | WSH | 272 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | PHI | 219 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | BKN | 232 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | UTAH | 217 | +18.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | MEM | 220 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | DAL | 232 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | ORL | 251 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | CLE | 211 | +24.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | BOS | 232 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | HOU | 226 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | CHI | 226 | +9.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Detroit Pistons in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.