This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 32% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 32% to break even | 0%–35% | 32 points shortwon 0%, needs 32% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 32% to break even | 0%–21% | 32 points shortwon 0%, needs 32% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 150%needs 32% to break even | 0%–15% | 32 points shortwon 0%, needs 32% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 32% to break even | 0%–73% | 32 points shortwon 0%, needs 32% |
| Last season | 20 of 8424%needs 32% to break even | 17%–32% | 8 points shortwon 24%, needs 32% |
| Every game | 20 of 8524%needs 32% to break even | 17%–32% | 9 points shortwon 24%, needs 32% |
Tonight GS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MEM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against gs -9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | -22 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 17 | -15 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 15 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | -5 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | -6 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | -16 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | -1 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | -7 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | -14 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | -23 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | -16 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | -14 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | -21 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | -3 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | -10 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | -6 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | -3 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | -7 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 2 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | -13 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -28 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 21 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | -4 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 11 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | -11 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | -13 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 1 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | -6 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | -19 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | -7 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 16 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | -25 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 26 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | -8 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | -18 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 23 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 20 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 13 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 22 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | -13 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 34 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | -1 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | -37 | -46.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 13 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | -14 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 23 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | -1 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | -5 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | -7 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 32 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | -1 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | -12 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | -4 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 17 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | -4 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | -14 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | -8 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 18 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 1 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | -24 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 31 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | -25 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | -5 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 11 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | -5 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | -10 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 19 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 13 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | -20 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.