This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 49% to break even | 27%–86% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 49% to break even | 44%–87% | 21 points betterwon 70%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 49% to break even | 39%–78% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 49% to break even | 27%–100% | 51 points betterwon 100%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 46 of 8455%needs 49% to break even | 46%–63% | 6 points betterwon 55%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 47 of 8555%needs 49% to break even | 46%–64% | 6 points betterwon 55%, needs 49% |
Tonight GS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MEM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 233.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 229.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 118.5 team totalGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 233.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 232 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 17 | 207 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Apr 15 | 247 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 225 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 242 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 222 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 215 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 233 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 229 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 240 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 209 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 257 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 215 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 268 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 236 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 216 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 219 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 242 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 217 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 244 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 254 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 235 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 201 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 228 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 215 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 230 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 245 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 222 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 245 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 231 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 239 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 227 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 204 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 198 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 207 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 255 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 264 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 191 | +42.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 196 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 238 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 272 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 247 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 252 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 239 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 216 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 235 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 240 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 233 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 205 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 237 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 225 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 257 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 227 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 268 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 242 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 217 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 235 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 197 | +36.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 267 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 247 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 214 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 193 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 197 | +36.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 236 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 200 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 204 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 251 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 250 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 206 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 234 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 230 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 217 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 245 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 228 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 197 | +36.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 233 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 237 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 225 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 223 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 230 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 177 | +56.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 249 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 258 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 268 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 228 | +5.5 | Won | |
| 45 of 84· last season54%needs 65% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -29.9Not beating its price |
| Over 230.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -164at Polymarket | 42 of 84· last season50%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.2Not beating its price |
| Over 231.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 41 of 84· last season49%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price |
| Over 232.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 41 of 84· last season49%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.7Not beating its price |
| Over 233.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 38 of 84· last season45%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.1Not beating its price |
| Over 234.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 37 of 84· last season44%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.3Not beating its price |
| Over 235.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 34 of 84· last season40%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.2Not beating its price |
| Over 237.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 30 of 84· last season36%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.9Not beating its price |
| Over 238.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 29 of 84· last season35%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.2Not beating its price |
| Over 239.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 27 of 84· last season32%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.2Not beating its price |
| Over 240.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 25 of 84· last season30%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.2Not beating its price |
| Over 241.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 25 of 84· last season30%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.8Not beating its price |
| Over 243.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 22 of 84· last season26%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 53% to break even |
| 3.1Good |
| Under 114.5 team totalGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 38% to break even | 3.1Good |
| Under 116.5 team totalGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 46% to break even | 1.4Slight |
| Under 120.5 team totalGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 60% to break even | -1.2Not beating its price |
| Under 122.5 team totalGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 67% to break even | -7.7Not beating its price |
| Over 124.5 team totalGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 20 of 84· last season24%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.2Not beating its price |
| GS -9.5 spreadGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 20 of 84· last season24%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.5Not beating its price |
| Over 122.5 team totalGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 26 of 84· last season31%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.5Not beating its price |
| GS -8.5 spreadGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 21 of 84· last season25%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.6Not beating its price |
| GS -4.5 spreadGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 32 of 84· last season38%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.9Not beating its price |
| GS -7.5 spreadGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 23 of 84· last season27%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.6Not beating its price |
| GS -6.5 spreadGolden State Warriors · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 25 of 84· last season30%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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