This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 38% to break even | 27%–86% | 22 points betterwon 60%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 38% to break even | 19%–65% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 38% to break even | 17%–54% | 4 points shortwon 33%, needs 38% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 38% to break even | 0%–73% | 38 points shortwon 0%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 41 of 7059%needs 38% to break even | 49%–68% | 21 points betterwon 59%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 41 of 7158%needs 38% to break even | 48%–67% | 20 points betterwon 58%, needs 38% |
Tonight GS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MEM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against under 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 17 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 15 | 20 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 7 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 7 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 15 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 25 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 27 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 31 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 2 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 13 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 13 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 18 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 20 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 15 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 22 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 14 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 14 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 15 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 15 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 18 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 13 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 11 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 7 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 2 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 13 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 0 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 0 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 1 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 2 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 14 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 1 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 0 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 2 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 0 | +9.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.