This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 8% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 8% to break even | 0%–35% | 8 points shortwon 0%, needs 8% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 100%needs 8% to break even | 0%–21% | 8 points shortwon 0%, needs 8% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 150%needs 8% to break even | 0%–15% | 8 points shortwon 0%, needs 8% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 8% to break even | 0%–73% | 8 points shortwon 0%, needs 8% |
| Last season | 3 of 704%needs 8% to break even | 2%–10% | 4 points shortwon 4%, needs 8% |
| Every game | 3 of 714%needs 8% to break even | 2%–10% | 4 points shortwon 4%, needs 8% |
Tonight GS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MEM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Double-double in each game against yes, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Double-double | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.