This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 31% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 31% to break even | 5%–56% | 11 points shortwon 20%, needs 31% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 31% to break even | 19%–65% | 9 points betterwon 40%, needs 31% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 31% to break even | 22%–61% | 9 points betterwon 40%, needs 31% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 31% to break even | 0%–73% | 31 points shortwon 0%, needs 31% |
| Last season | 17 of 7024%needs 31% to break even | 17%–34% | 6 points shortwon 24%, needs 31% |
| Every game |
Tonight GS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MEM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 15.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 pointsGui Santos · Today 10:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 assistsGui Santos · Today 10:10 PM ET |
| 17%–33% |
| 7 points shortwon 24%, needs 31% |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 15.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 12 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 17 | 9 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 15 | 20 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 25 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 9 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 27 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 31 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 16 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 2 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 20 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 17 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 17 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 22 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 14 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 5 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 14 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 17 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 17 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 17 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 9 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 16 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 16 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 16 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 5 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 3 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 3 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 6 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 5 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 4 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 2 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 6 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 0 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 9 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 0 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 0 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 5 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 6 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 1 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 2 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 6 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 14 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 4 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 0 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 9 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 4 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 3 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 4 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 3 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 1 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 0 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 5 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 2 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 0 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 3 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 3 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 0 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| +165at Bovada |
| 41 of 70· last season59%needs 38% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.0Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 pointsGui Santos · Today 10:10 PM ET | +125at Bovada | 41 of 70· last season59%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.2Not beating its price |
| Under 11.5 pointsGui Santos · Today 10:10 PM ET | -104at Caesars | 42 of 70· last season60%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.0Not beating its price |
| Under 12.5 pointsGui Santos · Today 10:10 PM ET | -132at FanDuel | 42 of 70· last season60%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.4Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 pointsGui Santos · Today 10:10 PM ET | -190at Bovada | 46 of 70· last season66%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.2Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 pointsGui Santos · Today 10:10 PM ET | -250at Bovada | 49 of 70· last season70%needs 71% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +215at FanDuel |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 32% to break even |
| -2.4Not beating its price |
| Yes double-doubleGui Santos · Today 10:10 PM ET | +1100at Fanatics | 3 of 70· last season4%needs 8% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 reboundsGui Santos · Today 10:10 PM ET | -230at Bovada | 58 of 70· last season83%needs 70% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.4Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 reboundsGui Santos · Today 10:10 PM ET | +150at Bovada | 44 of 70· last season63%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.0Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 pts + astGui Santos · Today 10:10 PM ET | +115at Bovada | 42 of 70· last season60%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 reboundsGui Santos · Today 10:10 PM ET | -118at FanDuel | 51 of 70· last season73%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.1Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + reb + astGui Santos · Today 10:10 PM ET | +218at DraftKings | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 31% to break even | -13.4Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 reb + astGui Santos · Today 10:10 PM ET | +200at Bovada | 37 of 70· last season53%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.0Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 pts + astGui Santos · Today 10:10 PM ET | -104at FanDuel | 42 of 70· last season60%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 pts + reb + astGui Santos · Today 10:10 PM ET | -112at FanDuel | 47 of 70· last season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.6Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 reb + astGui Santos · Today 10:10 PM ET | -150at DraftKings | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 60% to break even | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 pts + reb + astGui Santos · Today 10:10 PM ET | +155at Bovada | 37 of 70· last season53%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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