This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 55% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 55% to break even | 54%–93% | 25 points betterwon 80%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 55% to break even | 59%–92% | 25 points betterwon 80%, needs 55% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 55% to break even | 27%–100% | 45 points betterwon 100%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 36 of 8244%needs 55% to break even | 35%–53% | 11 points shortwon 44%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 37 of 8345%needs 55% to break even | 36%–54% | 10 points shortwon 45%, needs 55% |
Tonight IND plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q total points in each game against over 61.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 59.5 1st quarter totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 124.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | 1Q total points | Beat 61.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 69 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 68 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 49 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 45 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 62 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 63 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 62 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 72 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 70 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 63 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 73 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 58 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 71 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 70 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 72 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 60 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 45 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 72 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 49 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 60 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 62 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 67 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 68 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 65 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 68 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 69 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 49 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 50 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 49 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 65 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 41 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 52 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 57 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 52 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 74 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 57 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 72 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 67 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 50 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 63 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 42 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 64 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 57 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 43 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 54 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 63 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 50 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 64 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 61 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 59 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 55 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 57 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 67 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 46 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 61 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 71 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 61 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 63 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 65 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 58 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 63 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 61 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 62 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 53 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 54 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 46 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 67 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 64 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 71 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 47 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 61 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 54 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 72 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 44 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 49 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 43 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 53 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 60 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 61 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 55 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 56 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 44 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 47 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| 37 of 82· last season45%needs 43% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -25.7Not beating its price |
| Under 61.5 1st quarter totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 46 of 82· last season56%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.7Not beating its price |
| Under 63.5 1st quarter totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 56 of 82· last season68%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 70 of 82· last season85%needs 60% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 1.2Slight |
| Under 116.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 53 of 82· last season65%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.3Not beating its price |
| Under 228.5 game total, IND gamesIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +229at Kalshi | 36 of 82· last season44%needs 30% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.1Not beating its price |
| Under 126.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 70 of 82· last season85%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Under 229.5 game total, IND gamesIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +200at Bovada | 37 of 82· last season45%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.6Not beating its price |
| Under 122.5 1st half totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 58 of 82· last season71%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.7Not beating its price |
| Under 230.5 game total, IND gamesIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 37 of 82· last season45%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.8Not beating its price |
| Under 118.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 57 of 82· last season70%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.8Not beating its price |
| Under 231.5 game total, IND gamesIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 42 of 82· last season51%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Under 122.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 67 of 82· last season82%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.1Not beating its price |
| Under 227.5 game total, IND gamesIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +233at Polymarket | 35 of 82· last season43%needs 30% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.5Not beating its price |
| Under 120.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 64 of 82· last season78%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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