This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 37% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points betterwon 40%, needs 37% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 37% to break even | 27%–73% | 13 points betterwon 50%, needs 37% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 37% to break even | 22%–61% | 3 points betterwon 40%, needs 37% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 37% to break even | 0%–73% | 37 points shortwon 0%, needs 37% |
| Last season | 53 of 8265%needs 37% to break even | 56%–73% | 28 points betterwon 65%, needs 37% |
| Every game | 53 of 8364%needs 37% to break even | 55%–72% | 27 points betterwon 64%, needs 37% |
Tonight IND plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
IND points in each game against under 116.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | IND points | Beat 116.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 123 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 121 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 94 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 123 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 104 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 108 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 108 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 145 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 135 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 113 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 130 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 128 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 119 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 119 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 110 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 123 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 92 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 108 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 109 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 111 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 117 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 107 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 106 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 109 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 114 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 130 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 118 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 105 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 115 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | 137 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 104 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 99 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 122 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 114 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 129 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 113 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 116 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 117 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 104 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 104 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 78 | +38.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 127 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 101 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 98 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 123 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 114 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 116 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 127 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 113 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 110 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 119 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 116 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 122 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 94 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 95 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 109 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 113 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 89 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 105 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 116 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 120 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 120 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 119 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 103 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 119 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 95 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 117 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 109 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 127 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 112 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 111 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 98 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 128 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 83 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 100 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 103 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 115 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 114 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 108 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 105 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 110 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 103 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | 135 | -18.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 118.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 63% to break even | -31.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 120.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 57% to break even | -30.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 122.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 49% to break even | -29.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 124.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 42% to break even | -31.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 126.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 36% to break even | -26.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.