This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 43% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 43% to break even | 27%–73% | 7 points betterwon 50%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 43% to break even | 22%–61% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 43% to break even | 0%–73% | 43 points shortwon 0%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 57 of 8270%needs 43% to break even | 61%–77% | 27 points betterwon 70%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 57 of 8369%needs 43% to break even | 60%–76% | 26 points betterwon 69%, needs 43% |
Tonight IND plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
IND points in each game against under 118.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | IND points | Beat 118.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 123 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 121 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 94 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 123 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 104 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 108 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 108 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 145 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 135 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 113 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 130 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 128 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 119 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 119 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 110 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 123 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 92 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 108 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 109 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 111 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 117 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 107 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 106 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 109 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 114 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 130 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 118 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 105 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 115 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | 137 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 104 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 99 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 122 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 114 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 129 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 113 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 116 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 117 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 104 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 104 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 78 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 127 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 101 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 98 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 123 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 114 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 116 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 127 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 113 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 110 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 119 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 116 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 122 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 94 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 95 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 109 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 113 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 89 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 105 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 116 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 120 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 120 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 119 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 103 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 119 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 95 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 117 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 109 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 127 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 112 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 111 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 98 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 128 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 83 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 100 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 103 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 115 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 114 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 108 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 105 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 110 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 103 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | 135 | -16.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 118.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 64% to break even | -32.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 120.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 57% to break even | -30.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 122.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 49% to break even | -29.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 124.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 46% to break even | -35.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 126.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 35% to break even | -25.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.