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NBAPlayer propPoints
Aaron Nesmith over 16.5 points
Won14 of 45last season · 31%
Best price+230Fanatics
Price needs30.3%wins to break even
Every game14 of 45this season and last
Trend score-12.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 30% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 30% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points betterwon 40%, needs 30% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 30% to break even | 19%–65% | 10 points betterwon 40%, needs 30% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 30% to break even | 13%–48% | 4 points shortwon 27%, needs 30% |
| Last season | 14 of 4531%needs 30% to break even | 21%–43% | 1 points betterwon 31%, needs 30% |
| Every game | 14 of 4531%needs 30% to break even | 21%–43% | 1 points better |
Games like tonight
Tonight IND plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Aaron Nesmith over 16.5 points3 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against over 16.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 pointsAaron Nesmith · Today 7:10 PM ET |
More on Aaron Nesmith in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 reboundsAaron Nesmith |
