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NBAPlayer propPoints
Aaron Nesmith over 14.5 points
Won18 of 45last season · 40%
Best price+140Fanatics
Price needs41.7%wins to break even
Every game18 of 45this season and last
Trend score-15.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 42% to break even | 27%–86% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 42% to break even | 27%–73% | 8 points betterwon 50%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 42% to break even | 17%–54% | 8 points shortwon 33%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 18 of 4540%needs 42% to break even | 29%–52% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 18 of 4540%needs 42% to break even | 29%–52% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% |
Games like tonight
Tonight IND plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Aaron Nesmith over 14.5 points4 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against over 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 pointsAaron Nesmith · Today 7:10 PM ET |
More on Aaron Nesmith in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 reboundsAaron Nesmith |
