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NBAGame lineTeam total
Over 120.5 (team total)
Won30 of 92last season · 33%
Best price+109Kalshi
Price needs47.8%wins to break even
Every game31 of 93this season and last
Trend score-37.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 48% to break even | 5%–56% | 28 points shortwon 20%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 48% to break even | 2%–35% | 38 points shortwon 10%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 48% to break even | 5%–33% | 35 points shortwon 13%, needs 48% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 48% to break even | 27%–100% | 52 points betterwon 100%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 30 of 9233%needs 48% to break even | 25%–41% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 31 of 9333%needs 48% to break even | 26%–42% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 48% |
Games like tonight
Tonight LAL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against LAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Over 120.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
LAL points in each game against over 120.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | LAL points | Beat 120.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  GS | 127 | +6.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 11 |  OKC | 110 | -10.5 | Lost |
| May 9 | OKC | 108 | -12.5 | Lost |
| May 7 | OKC | 107 | -13.5 | Lost |
| May 5 | OKC | 90 | -30.5 | Lost |
| May 1 |  HOU | 98 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Apr 29 | HOU | 93 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Apr 26 | HOU | 96 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Apr 24 | HOU | 112 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | HOU | 101 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | HOU | 107 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  UTAH | 131 | +10.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  PHX | 101 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Apr 9 | GS | 119 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 | OKC | 87 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  DAL | 128 | +7.5 | Won |
| Apr 2 | OKC | 96 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Mar 31 |  CLE | 127 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 |  WSH | 120 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 |  BKN | 116 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  IND | 137 | +16.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  DET | 110 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  ORL | 105 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 |  MIA | 134 | +13.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 | HOU | 124 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 16 | HOU | 100 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 |  DEN | 127 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 |  CHI | 142 | +21.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 |  MIN | 120 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  NY | 110 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 | IND | 128 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 | DEN | 113 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 |  NO | 110 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 |  SAC | 128 | +7.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | GS | 129 | +8.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 | PHX | 110 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 | ORL | 109 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 |  BOS | 89 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 |  LAC | 125 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 12 | DAL | 124 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 10 |  SA | 108 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 | OKC | 110 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | GS | 105 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Feb 5 |  PHI | 119 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 | BKN | 125 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 | NY | 100 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Jan 30 | WSH | 142 | +21.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | CLE | 99 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Jan 26 | CHI | 129 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | DAL | 116 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 22 | LAC | 104 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 | DEN | 115 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 |  TOR | 110 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 |  POR | 116 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 |  CHA | 117 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 |  ATL | 141 | +20.5 | Won |
| Jan 12 | SAC | 112 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 |  MIL | 101 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | SA | 91 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Jan 6 | NO | 111 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 |  MEM | 120 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 2 | MEM | 128 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 30 | DET | 106 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 | SAC | 125 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 25 | HOU | 96 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | PHX | 108 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | LAC | 88 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | UTAH | 143 | +22.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | PHX | 116 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 10 | SA | 119 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | PHI | 112 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | BOS | 105 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Dec 4 | TOR | 123 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | PHX | 108 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | NO | 133 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | DAL | 129 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 25 | LAC | 135 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | UTAH | 108 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 18 | UTAH | 140 | +19.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | MIL | 119 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | NO | 118 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | OKC | 92 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Nov 10 | CHA | 121 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | ATL | 102 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | SA | 118 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 | POR | 123 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | MIA | 130 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 31 | MEM | 117 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | MIN | 116 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | POR | 108 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | SAC | 127 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | MIN | 128 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 21 | GS | 109 | -11.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 114.5 team totalLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET |  +166at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 38% to break even | 15.4Very strong | ||
| Under 116.5 team totalLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 45% to break even | 10.1Strong | ||
| Under 118.5 team totalLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 51% to break even | 5.3Good | ||
| Under 120.5 team totalLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 59% to break even | 1.6Slight | ||
| Under 122.5 team totalLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 66% to break even | -4.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Los Angeles Lakers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.