This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 66% to break even | 44%–95% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 66% to break even | 65%–98% | 24 points betterwon 90%, needs 66% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 66% to break even | 67%–95% | 21 points betterwon 87%, needs 66% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 66% to break even | 27%–100% | 34 points betterwon 100%, needs 66% |
| Last season | 60 of 9265%needs 66% to break even | 57%–73% | evenwon 65%, needs 66% |
| Every game | 61 of 9366%needs 66% to break even | 57%–73% | evenwon 66%, needs 66% |
Tonight LAL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against LAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 234.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 234.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 232 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 11 | 225 | +9.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 239 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 7 | 232 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 5 | 198 | +36.5 | Won | |
| May 1 | 176 | +58.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | 192 | +42.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 211 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 220 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 195 | +39.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 205 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 238 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 174 | +60.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 222 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 210 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 262 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 235 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 240 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 221 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 215 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 267 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 223 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 209 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 260 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 240 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 192 | +42.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 252 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 272 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 226 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 207 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 245 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 233 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 211 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 232 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 230 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 223 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 219 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 200 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 247 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 12 | 228 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | 244 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 229 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 204 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 234 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 234 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 212 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 253 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 228 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 247 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 226 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 216 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 222 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 203 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 248 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 252 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 257 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 236 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 206 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 198 | +36.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 214 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 234 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 249 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 234 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 226 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 215 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 240 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 191 | +43.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 278 | -43.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 230 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 10 | 251 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 220 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 231 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 243 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 233 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 254 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 248 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 253 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 214 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 266 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 214 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 222 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 213 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 232 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 224 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 234 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 238 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 250 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 229 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 231 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 230 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 247 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 238 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 228 | +6.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.