This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 62% to break even | 44%–95% | 18 points betterwon 80%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 62% to break even | 65%–98% | 28 points betterwon 90%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 62% to break even | 67%–95% | 25 points betterwon 87%, needs 62% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 62% to break even | 27%–100% | 38 points betterwon 100%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 53 of 9258%needs 62% to break even | 49%–66% | 4 points shortwon 58%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 54 of 9358%needs 62% to break even | 50%–66% | 4 points shortwon 58%, needs 62% |
Tonight LAL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against LAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 232.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 222.5 game total, LAL gamesLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 114.5 team totalLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 232.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 232 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 11 | 225 | +7.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 239 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| May 7 | 232 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 5 | 198 | +34.5 | Won | |
| May 1 | 176 | +56.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | 192 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 211 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 220 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 195 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 205 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 238 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 174 | +58.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 222 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 210 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 262 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 235 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 240 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 221 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 215 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 267 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 223 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 209 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 260 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 240 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 192 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 252 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 272 | -39.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 226 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 207 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 245 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 233 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 211 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 232 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 230 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 223 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 219 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 200 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 247 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 12 | 228 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | 244 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 229 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 204 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 234 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 234 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 212 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 253 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 228 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 247 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 226 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 216 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 222 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 203 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 248 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 252 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 257 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 236 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 206 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 198 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 214 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 234 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 249 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 234 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 226 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 215 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 240 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 191 | +41.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 278 | -45.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 230 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 10 | 251 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 220 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 231 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 243 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 233 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 254 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 248 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 253 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 214 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 266 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 214 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 222 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 213 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 232 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 224 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 234 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 238 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 250 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 229 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 231 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 230 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 247 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 238 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 228 | +4.5 | Won | |
| 59 of 92· last season64%needs 65% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -31.9Not beating its price |
| Over 224.5 game total, LAL gamesLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 56 of 92· last season61%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.3Not beating its price |
| Over 225.5 game total, LAL gamesLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 55 of 92· last season60%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.1Not beating its price |
| Over 226.5 game total, LAL gamesLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 52 of 92· last season57%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.5Not beating its price |
| Over 228.5 game total, LAL gamesLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 49 of 92· last season53%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price |
| Over 230.5 game total, LAL gamesLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 44 of 92· last season48%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.0Not beating its price |
| Over 231.5 game total, LAL gamesLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 42 of 92· last season46%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.0Not beating its price |
| Over 232.5 game total, LAL gamesLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 39 of 92· last season42%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.1Not beating its price |
| Over 233.5 game total, LAL gamesLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 37 of 92· last season40%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.2Not beating its price |
| Over 234.5 game total, LAL gamesLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 32 of 92· last season35%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price |
| Over 236.5 game total, LAL gamesLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 30 of 92· last season33%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 38% to break even |
| 15.4Very strong |
| Under 116.5 team totalLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 45% to break even | 10.1Strong |
| Under 118.5 team totalLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 51% to break even | 5.3Good |
| Under 120.5 team totalLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 59% to break even | 1.6Slight |
| Under 122.5 team totalLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 66% to break even | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 2nd quarter totalLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 54% to break even | -17.3Not beating its price |
| Over 110.5 1st half totalLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 62 of 92· last season67%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.8Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 1st quarter totalLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 60 of 92· last season65%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price |
| LAL -15.5 spreadLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 33% to break even | -21.1Not beating its price |
| Over 124.5 team totalLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 25 of 92· last season27%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.7Not beating its price |
| LAL -9.5 1st half spreadLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 21 of 92· last season23%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.1Not beating its price |
| LAL -14.5 spreadLos Angeles Lakers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 38% to break even | -25.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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