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NBAPlayer propThrees
Ziaire Williams under 1.5 threes
Won5 of 5last 5 games · 100%
Best price-230Bovada
Price needs69.7%wins to break even
Every game33 of 57this season and last
Trend score-18.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 70% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 70% to break even | 65%–100% | 30 points betterwon 100%, needs 70% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 70% to break even | 54%–93% | 10 points betterwon 80%, needs 70% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 70% to break even | 39%–78% | 10 points shortwon 60%, needs 70% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 70% to break even | 27%–100% | 30 points betterwon 100%, needs 70% |
| Last season | 32 of 5657%needs 70% to break even | 46%–67% | 13 points shortwon 57%, needs 70% |
| Every game | 33 of 5758%needs 70% to break even | 47%–68% | 12 points shortwon 58%, needs 70% |
Games like tonight
Tonight LAL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against LAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Ziaire Williams under 1.5 threes4 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Threes in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  GS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 3 |  ATL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 |  CHA | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 |  LAL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 | GS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  POR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 22 |  SAC | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 |  NY | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 |  OKC | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 16 | POR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  PHI | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 9 |  MEM | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 |  DET | 5 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 |  MIA | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | MIA | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 |  CLE | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 27 |  BOS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 |  SA | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 | CLE | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 |  IND | 5 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 |  CHI | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 |  ORL | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 3 | LAL | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 27 |  PHX | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 |  LAC | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 | BOS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 21 | NY | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 | PHX | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | ORL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 |  DEN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 2 |  WSH | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 |  HOU | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | PHI | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 |  TOR | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | MIA | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  MIL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 12 |  DAL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 |  NO | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 4 |  UTAH | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | CHI | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 | CHA | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | MIL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | PHI | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | TOR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 21 | BOS | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 18 | BOS | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | WSH | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | ORL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 11 | TOR | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | NY | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | DET | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | IND | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 |  MIN | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | PHI | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | SA | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | CLE | 6 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | CHA | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 threesZiaire Williams · Today 10:10 PM ET |  -218at Caesars | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 69% to break even | 0.6Slight | ||
| Over 1.5 threesZiaire Williams · Today 10:10 PM ET |  +220at FanDuel | 24 of 56· last season43%needs 31% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Ziaire Williams in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.