This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 45% to break even | 44%–95% | 35 points betterwon 80%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 45% to break even | 44%–87% | 25 points betterwon 70%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 45% to break even | 59%–92% | 35 points betterwon 80%, needs 45% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 45% to break even | 27%–100% | 55 points betterwon 100%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 34 of 5661%needs 45% to break even | 50%–71% | 15 points betterwon 61%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 35 of 5761%needs 45% to break even | 51%–71% | 16 points betterwon 61%, needs 45% |
Tonight LAL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against LAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 8.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 8.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 3 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 16 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 19 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 16 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 18 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 17 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 11 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 23 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 15 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 16 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 2 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 2 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 19 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 11 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 1 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 17 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 11 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 14 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 11 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 15 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 14 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 14 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 2 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 2 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 3 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 23 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 3 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 2 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 12 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 15 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 2 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 3 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 14 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 13 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 25 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | -7.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 pointsZiaire Williams · Today 10:10 PM ET | +185at Bovada | 17 of 56· last season30%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 6.5 pointsZiaire Williams · Today 10:10 PM ET | +125at Bovada | 18 of 56· last season32%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 7.5 pointsZiaire Williams · Today 10:10 PM ET | -114at Caesars | 20 of 56· last season36%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -40.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 8.5 pointsZiaire Williams · Today 10:10 PM ET | -160at Bovada | 22 of 56· last season39%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -43.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 9.5 pointsZiaire Williams · Today 10:10 PM ET | -220at Bovada | 25 of 56· last season45%needs 69% to break even | Record is last season's | -43.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.