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NBAPlayer propPoints
Alex Sarr under 10.5 points
Won4 of 5last 5 games · 80%
Best price+155Bovada
Price needs39.2%wins to break even
Every game12 of 49this season and last
Trend score-13.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 39% to break even | 44%–95% | 41 points betterwon 80%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 39% to break even | 27%–73% | 11 points betterwon 50%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 39% to break even | 17%–54% | 6 points shortwon 33%, needs 39% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 39% to break even | 27%–100% | 61 points betterwon 100%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 11 of 4823%needs 39% to break even | 15%–34% | 16 points shortwon 23%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 12 of 4924%needs 39% to break even | 16%–36% | 15 points shortwon 24%, needs 39% |
Games like tonight
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Alex Sarr under 10.5 points1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against under 10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  MIL | 6 | +4.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 27 |  GS | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  OKC | 14 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 |  DET | 2 | +8.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  BOS | 4 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 |  ORL | 16 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  MIA | 28 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  NO | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 | MIA | 12 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 5 | DET | 12 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 |  NY | 11 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 30 |  LAL | 16 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | MIL | 16 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 27 |  POR | 29 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 |  CHA | 24 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Jan 22 |  DEN | 15 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 19 |  LAC | 28 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | DEN | 16 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 16 |  SAC | 19 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Jan 14 | LAC | 4 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 |  PHX | 19 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 | NO | 14 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 |  PHI | 15 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 6 | ORL | 23 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 |  MIN | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 |  BKN | 19 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 31 | MIL | 20 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 | PHX | 2 | +8.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 |  MEM | 20 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 |  TOR | 15 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | CHA | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | MEM | 18 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 |  SA | 18 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 |  IND | 24 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 25 |  ATL | 27 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 |  CHI | 16 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | BKN | 9 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 |  HOU | 25 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Nov 10 | DET | 15 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 |  DAL | 17 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 |  CLE | 20 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | BOS | 31 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 | NY | 19 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | ORL | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 30 | OKC | 14 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 | PHI | 31 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | CHA | 23 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | DAL | 14 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | MIL | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 pointsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa |  -272at DraftKings | 39 of 48· last season81%needs 73% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 10.5 pointsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa |  -210at Bovada | 37 of 48· last season77%needs 68% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 11.5 pointsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa |  -145at Fanatics | 36 of 48· last season75%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 12.5 pointsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa |  -110at FanDuel | 34 of 48· last season71%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 13.5 pointsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +115at Bovada | 34 of 48· last season71%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 14.5 pointsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +162at FanDuel | 30 of 48· last season63%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 15.5 pointsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +190at Bovada | 26 of 48· last season54%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 16.5 pointsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa |  +240at Caesars | 21 of 48· last season44%needs 29% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Alex Sarr in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.