This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 34% to break even | 0%–35% | 34 points shortwon 0%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 34% to break even | 7%–46% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 34% to break even | 22%–61% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 34% to break even | 0%–73% | 34 points shortwon 0%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 30 of 4863%needs 34% to break even | 51%–73% | 29 points betterwon 63%, needs 34% |
| Every game |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 pointsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 24.5 pts + reb + astAlex Sarr |
| 49%–72% |
| 28 points betterwon 61%, needs 34% |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 14.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 6 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 27 | 8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 2 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 4 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 28 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 11 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 29 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 24 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 15 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 28 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 19 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 4 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 19 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 15 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 23 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 19 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 20 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 2 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 20 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 15 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 24 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 25 | 27 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 9 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 25 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 15 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 20 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 31 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 19 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 31 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 23 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| +215at Bovada |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 32% to break even |
| -7.6Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 pointsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +155at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 39% to break even | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Under 11.5 pointsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +115at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 47% to break even | -18.6Not beating its price |
| Under 12.5 pointsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -108at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 52% to break even | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 pointsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -150at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 60% to break even | -22.6Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 pointsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -200at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 67% to break even | -19.4Not beating its price |
| Under 15.5 pointsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -260at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 72% to break even | -22.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +208at Kalshi |
| 31 of 48· last season65%needs 32% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -6.7Not beating its price |
| Over 11.5 reb + astAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +255at DraftKings | 18 of 48· last season38%needs 28% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 reboundsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +185at Bovada | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 35% to break even | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 reboundsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +110at BetMGM | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 48% to break even | -9.2Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 reboundsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +425at Kalshi | 13 of 48· last season27%needs 19% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Yes double-doubleAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +412at DraftKings | 12 of 48· last season25%needs 20% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.4Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 pts + rebAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -135at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even | -11.9Not beating its price |
| Over 8.5 reboundsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +210at Bovada | 18 of 48· last season38%needs 32% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.9Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 reboundsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +173at Kalshi | 24 of 48· last season50%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.4Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 reb + astAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +132at BetOnline | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 43% to break even | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 pts + rebAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -110at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 52% to break even | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 reb + astAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +116at FanDuel | 27 of 48· last season56%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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