This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 57% to break even | 65%–100% | 43 points betterwon 100%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 57% to break even | 54%–93% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 57% to break even | 39%–78% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 57% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 57% to break even | 27%–100% | 43 points betterwon 100%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 16 of 4833%needs 57% to break even | 23%–45% | 24 points shortwon 33%, needs 57% |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 18.5 pts + rebAlex Sarr |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 pointsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ET |
| Every game | 17 of 4935%needs 57% to break even | 25%–46% | 23 points shortwon 35%, needs 57% |
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 15 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 27 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 5 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 9 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 20 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 34 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 20 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 33 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 41 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 28 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 34 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 5 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 34 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 15 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 4 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 29 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 29 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 33 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 38 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 12 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 36 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 39 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 42 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 21 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| -150at Bovada |
| 35 of 48· last season73%needs 60% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -24.9Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pts + rebAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -112at FanDuel | 34 of 48· last season71%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.0Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 pts + rebAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +105at Bovada | 32 of 48· last season67%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +215at Bovada |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 32% to break even |
| -7.6Not beating its price |
| Over 11.5 reb + astAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +255at DraftKings | 18 of 48· last season38%needs 28% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 reboundsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +185at Bovada | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 35% to break even | -9.0Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 reboundsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +110at BetMGM | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 48% to break even | -9.2Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + reb + astAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +168at FanDuel | 31 of 48· last season65%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.1Not beating its price |
| Yes double-doubleAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +412at DraftKings | 12 of 48· last season25%needs 20% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.4Not beating its price |
| Over 8.5 reboundsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +210at Bovada | 18 of 48· last season38%needs 32% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.9Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 reboundsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +173at Kalshi | 24 of 48· last season50%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.4Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 reb + astAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +132at BetOnline | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 43% to break even | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 pointsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +155at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 39% to break even | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 reboundsAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +338at DraftKings | 13 of 48· last season27%needs 23% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Over 9.5 reb + astAlex Sarr · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +116at FanDuel | 27 of 48· last season56%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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