This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 48% to break even | 5%–56% | 28 points shortwon 20%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 48% to break even | 13%–56% | 18 points shortwon 30%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 48% to break even | 13%–48% | 21 points shortwon 27%, needs 48% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 48% to break even | 0%–73% | 48 points shortwon 0%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 6 of 2030%needs 48% to break even | 16%–48% | 18 points shortwon 30%, needs 48% |
| Every game |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb + ast in each game against under 34.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb + ast | Beat 34.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 50 | -15.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 33.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes triple-doubleAnthony Davis |
| 16%–46% |
| 19 points shortwon 29%, needs 48% |
| Last season |
| Jan 8 | 36 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 6 | 37 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | 41 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 | 23 | +11.5 | Won |
| Dec 25 | 6 | +28.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | 44 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Dec 22 | 54 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | 41 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | 31 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 12 | 41 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | 39 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | 16 | +18.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 | 38 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 | 49 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | 22 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | 8 | +26.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | 40 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 38 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | 44 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | 36 | -1.5 | Lost |
| -165at Bovada |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 62% to break even |
| -11.4Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -145at Bovada | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 59% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 35.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -120at Bovada | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 55% to break even | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Over 36.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +100at Bovada | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 50% to break even | -9.4Not beating its price |
| Over 37.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +115at Bovada | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 47% to break even | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Over 38.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +108at BetOnline | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 48% to break even | -17.1Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +150at DraftKings | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 40% to break even | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Over 40.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +130at BetOnline | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 43% to break even | -16.3Not beating its price |
| Over 42.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +157at BetOnline | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 39% to break even | -23.0Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +325at DraftKings | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 24% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +10000at FanDuel |
| 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even |
| -0.8Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 threesAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +120at Bovada | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.0Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +108at FanDuel | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 48% to break even | -5.1Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 pts + rebAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +114at DraftKings | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Over 33.5 pts + rebAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +100at Bovada | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.5Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -138at FanDuel | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 58% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 31.5 pts + rebAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -145at Bovada | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 59% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +255at FanDuel | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 28% to break even | -9.1Not beating its price |
| Over 11.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +119at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 46% to break even | -9.1Not beating its price |
| Over 25.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +215at Bovada | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 32% to break even | -9.8Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +145at Bovada | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 41% to break even | -10.4Not beating its price |
| Over 12.5 reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -215at Bovada | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 68% to break even | -11.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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