This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 58% to break even | 44%–95% | 22 points betterwon 80%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 58% to break even | 44%–87% | 12 points betterwon 70%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 58% to break even | 52%–87% | 15 points betterwon 73%, needs 58% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 58% to break even | 27%–100% | 42 points betterwon 100%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 13 of 2065%needs 58% to break even | 47%–80% | 7 points betterwon 65%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 14 of 2167%needs 58% to break even | 49%–81% | 9 points betterwon 67%, needs 58% |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Reb + ast in each game against over 13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Reb + ast | Beat 13.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 8 | 15 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 18 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 15 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 3 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 13 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 19 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 21 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 4 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 13 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +160at Bovada | 5 of 20· last season25%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 13.5 reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +110at Bovada | 7 of 20· last season35%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 14.5 reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -125at DraftKings | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.