This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 43% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 43% to break even | 27%–73% | 7 points betterwon 50%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 43% to break even | 28%–67% | 3 points betterwon 47%, needs 43% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 43% to break even | 27%–100% | 57 points betterwon 100%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 7 of 2035%needs 43% to break even | 20%–53% | 8 points shortwon 35%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 8 of 2138%needs 43% to break even | 23%–56% | 5 points shortwon 38%, needs 43% |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb + ast in each game against over 40.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb + ast | Beat 40.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 50 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 8 | 36 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 37 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 41 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 23 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 6 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 44 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 54 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 41 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 31 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 41 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 39 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 16 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 38 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 49 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 22 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 8 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 40 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 38 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 44 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 36 | -4.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 33.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +125at Bovada | 6 of 20· last season30%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 34.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +110at Bovada | 6 of 20· last season30%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 35.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -107at DraftKings | 6 of 20· last season30%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 36.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -112at FanDuel | 8 of 20· last season40%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 37.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -150at Bovada | 9 of 20· last season45%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.