This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 32% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 32% to break even | 14%–73% | 8 points betterwon 40%, needs 32% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 32% to break even | 19%–65% | 8 points betterwon 40%, needs 32% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 32% to break even | 22%–61% | 8 points betterwon 40%, needs 32% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 32% to break even | 27%–100% | 68 points betterwon 100%, needs 32% |
| Last season | 7 of 2035%needs 32% to break even | 20%–53% | 3 points betterwon 35%, needs 32% |
| Every game | 8 of 2138%needs 32% to break even | 23%–56% | 6 points betterwon 38%, needs 32% |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 25.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 25.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 34 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 8 | 21 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 19 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 26 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 13 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 3 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 31 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 35 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 24 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 15 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 24 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 29 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 2 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 17 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 32 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 12 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 4 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 26 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 25 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 27 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 22 | -3.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 17.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +200at Bovada | 7 of 20· last season35%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 18.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +155at Bovada | 7 of 20· last season35%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 19.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +152at Kalshi | 8 of 20· last season40%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 20.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +100at Bovada | 8 of 20· last season40%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 21.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -105at BetMGM | 9 of 20· last season45%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 22.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -114at FanDuel | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 23.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -190at Bovada | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 24.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -179at Polymarket | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 25.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -300at Bovada | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 75% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.