This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 40% to break even | 44%–95% | 40 points betterwon 80%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 40% to break even | 65%–98% | 50 points betterwon 90%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 40% to break even | 67%–95% | 47 points betterwon 87%, needs 40% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 40% to break even | 0%–73% | 40 points shortwon 0%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 60 of 9166%needs 40% to break even | 57%–74% | 26 points betterwon 66%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 60 of 9265%needs 40% to break even | 57%–73% | 25 points betterwon 65%, needs 40% |
Tonight ORL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 233.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 231.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 113.5 team totalOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 233.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 257 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 3 | 210 | +23.5 | Won | |
| May 1 | 172 | +61.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | 225 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 182 | +51.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 218 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 181 | +52.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 213 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Apr 17 | 211 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Apr 15 | 206 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 221 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 230 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 252 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 230 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 220 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 265 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 231 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 226 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 226 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 238 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 267 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 254 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 209 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 241 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 221 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 236 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 238 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 267 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 250 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 221 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 211 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 229 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 235 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 198 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 221 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 219 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 220 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 223 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 225 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 224 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 217 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 237 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 216 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 220 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 215 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 250 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 257 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 212 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 224 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 221 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 235 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 229 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 246 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 194 | +39.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 207 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 232 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 262 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 235 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 222 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 213 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 253 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 225 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 216 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 217 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 255 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 241 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 252 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 225 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 206 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 211 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 226 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 245 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 221 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 25 | 247 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 267 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 254 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 230 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 234 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 230 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 203 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 231 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 227 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 218 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 233 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 239 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 219 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 230 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 251 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 260 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 208 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 218 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 246 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| 33 of 91· last season36%needs 66% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -53.2Not beating its price |
| Over 232.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 32 of 91· last season35%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -49.3Not beating its price |
| Over 233.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 31 of 91· last season34%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -49.9Not beating its price |
| Over 234.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 30 of 91· last season33%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -46.8Not beating its price |
| Over 235.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 27 of 91· last season30%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -44.6Not beating its price |
| Over 236.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 26 of 91· last season29%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -43.1Not beating its price |
| Over 237.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 25 of 91· last season27%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -39.5Not beating its price |
| Over 238 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -130at Bovada | 23 of 89· last season26%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -46.7Not beating its price |
| Over 238.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 23 of 91· last season25%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -39.0Not beating its price |
| Over 239 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -110at Fanatics | 22 of 90· last season24%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -43.0Not beating its price |
| Over 239.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 22 of 91· last season24%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -37.3Not beating its price |
| Over 240 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -110at Bovada | 22 of 91· last season24%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -43.1Not beating its price |
| Over 240.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 22 of 91· last season24%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.4Not beating its price |
| Over 241 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +100at Bovada | 20 of 89· last season22%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -41.1Not beating its price |
| Over 241.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 20 of 91· last season22%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.2Not beating its price |
| Over 242.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 20 of 91· last season22%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.9Not beating its price |
| Over 243.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 20 of 91· last season22%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.5Not beating its price |
| Over 244.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +135at Bovada | 20 of 91· last season22%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.2Not beating its price |
| Over 245.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 19 of 91· last season21%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.3Not beating its price |
| Over 246.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +165at Bovada | 17 of 91· last season19%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.3Not beating its price |
| Over 247.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +208at Kalshi | 16 of 91· last season18%needs 32% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
| Over 248.5 game total, ORL gamesOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +233at Polymarket | 16 of 91· last season18%needs 30% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 38% to break even |
| 8.8Strong |
| Under 59.5 3rd quarter totalOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 44% to break even | 5.0Good |
| Under 115.5 team totalOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 44% to break even | 4.2Good |
| Under 61.5 3rd quarter totalOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 60 of 91· last season66%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.4Not beating its price |
| ORL +1.5 1st quarter spreadOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 53% to break even | -1.7Not beating its price |
| Under 117.5 team totalOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 51% to break even | -2.0Not beating its price |
| Under 63.5 3rd quarter totalOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 70 of 91· last season77%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Under 55.5 1st quarter totalOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 44% to break even | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Over 60.5 2nd quarter totalOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 37% to break even | -6.1Not beating its price |
| ORL +3.5 1st quarter spreadOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 66 of 91· last season73%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.2Not beating its price |
| Under 121.5 team totalOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 64% to break even | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Under 119.5 team totalOrlando Magic · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 58% to break even | -7.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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