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NBAGame line1st quarter spread
ORL 1Q +3.5 (1st quarter spread)
Won66 of 91last season · 73%
Best price-148Kalshi
Price needs59.7%wins to break even
Every game67 of 92this season and last
Trend score-6.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 60% to break even | 44%–95% | 20 points betterwon 80%, needs 60% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 60% to break even | 44%–87% | 10 points betterwon 70%, needs 60% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 60% to break even | 59%–92% | 20 points betterwon 80%, needs 60% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 60% to break even | 27%–100% | 40 points betterwon 100%, needs 60% |
| Last season | 66 of 9173%needs 60% to break even | 64%–79% | 13 points betterwon 73%, needs 60% |
| Every game | 67 of 9273%needs 60% to break even | 65%–80% | 13 points betterwon 73%, needs 60% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ORL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
ORL 1Q +3.5 (1st quarter spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1Q margin in each game against orl 1q +3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat -3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  ATL | 5 | +8.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 3 |  DET | 2 | +5.5 | Won |
| May 1 | DET | -1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 29 | DET | -12 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Apr 27 | DET | -1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | DET | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 22 | DET | -4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | DET | 8 | +11.5 | Won |
| Apr 17 |  CHA | 22 | +25.5 | Won |
| Apr 15 |  PHI | -4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  BOS | 9 | +12.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  CHI | 2 | +5.5 | Won |
| Apr 8 |  MIN | 2 | +5.5 | Won |
| Apr 6 | DET | 2 | +5.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 |  NO | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  DAL | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 | ATL | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 |  PHX | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Mar 29 |  TOR | -18 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Mar 26 |  SAC | 9 | +12.5 | Won |
| Mar 24 |  CLE | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  IND | -10 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  LAL | -7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 | CHA | -2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 17 |  OKC | -4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 | ATL | -13 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 |  MIA | 14 | +17.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 |  WSH | 10 | +13.5 | Won |
| Mar 11 | CLE | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 |  MIL | 10 | +13.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 | MIN | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 | DAL | -7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | WSH | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | DET | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 |  HOU | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 | LAL | -8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 |  LAC | 4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 | PHX | 4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 | SAC | -10 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | MIL | 4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 | MIL | 5 | +8.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 |  UTAH | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 |  BKN | 8 | +11.5 | Won |
| Feb 3 | OKC | -25 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 |  SA | -16 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Jan 30 | TOR | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | MIA | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Jan 26 | CLE | 10 | +13.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | CLE | -2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 | CHA | -15 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 |  MEM | -17 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | MEM | -16 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | NO | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 | PHI | 4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | BKN | -2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 | WSH | -1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | IND | -8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 2 | CHI | 10 | +13.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 | IND | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 | TOR | 11 | +14.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 |  DEN | -8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 | CHA | -10 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 |  POR | 4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 22 |  GS | 4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | UTAH | -2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | DEN | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 |  NY | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 9 | MIA | -13 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | NY | -4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | MIA | 2 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 | SA | -2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | CHI | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | DET | -2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 25 | PHI | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | BOS | -5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | NY | 2 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | LAC | 6 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 18 | GS | 4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | HOU | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 | BKN | -9 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | NY | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | POR | 2 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | BOS | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | BOS | 13 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 4 | ATL | -9 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | WSH | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 30 | CHA | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | DET | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | PHI | -5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | CHI | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | ATL | -1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | MIA | -1 | +2.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Orlando Magic in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.