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NBAGame lineSpread
ORL -3.5 (spread)
Won38 of 91last season · 42%
Best price+152Kalshi
Price needs39.7%wins to break even
Every game38 of 92this season and last
Trend score-14.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 40% to break even | 5%–56% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 40% to break even | 19%–65% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 40% to break even | 33%–72% | 14 points betterwon 53%, needs 40% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 40% to break even | 0%–73% | 40 points shortwon 0%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 38 of 9142%needs 40% to break even | 34%–50% | 2 points betterwon 42%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 38 of 9241%needs 40% to break even | 33%–50% | 2 points betterwon 41%, needs 40% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ORL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
ORL -3.5 (spread)3 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against orl -3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  ATL | -7 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 3 |  DET | -22 | -25.5 | Lost |
| May 1 | DET | -14 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Apr 29 | DET | -7 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Apr 27 | DET | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | DET | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 22 | DET | -15 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | DET | 11 | +7.5 | Won |
| Apr 17 |  CHA | 31 | +27.5 | Won |
| Apr 15 |  PHI | -12 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  BOS | -5 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  CHI | 24 | +20.5 | Won |
| Apr 8 |  MIN | 12 | +8.5 | Won |
| Apr 6 | DET | 16 | +12.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 |  NO | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  DAL | 11 | +7.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 | ATL | -29 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Mar 31 |  PHX | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 29 |  TOR | -52 | -55.5 | Lost |
| Mar 26 |  SAC | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 24 |  CLE | -5 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  IND | -2 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  LAL | -1 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 | CHA | -19 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Mar 17 |  OKC | -5 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 | ATL | -12 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 |  MIA | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 |  WSH | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 11 | CLE | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 |  MIL | 39 | +35.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 | MIN | 27 | +23.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 | DAL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | WSH | 17 | +13.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | DET | -14 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 |  HOU | -5 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 | LAL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 |  LAC | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 | PHX | -3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Feb 19 | SAC | 37 | +33.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | MIL | -8 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 | MIL | 19 | +15.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 |  UTAH | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 5 |  BKN | 20 | +16.5 | Won |
| Feb 3 | OKC | -36 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 |  SA | -9 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Jan 30 | TOR | 10 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | MIA | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 26 | CLE | -16 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | CLE | -14 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Jan 22 | CHA | -27 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 |  MEM | -17 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | MEM | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | NO | 10 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 | PHI | -12 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | BKN | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 6 | WSH | -8 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | IND | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 | CHI | -7 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Dec 31 | IND | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 | TOR | -1 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 |  DEN | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 | CHA | -15 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 |  POR | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 22 |  GS | -23 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | UTAH | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | DEN | -11 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Dec 13 |  NY | -12 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Dec 9 | MIA | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | NY | -6 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | MIA | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | SA | -2 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 | CHI | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | DET | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 25 | PHI | 41 | +37.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | BOS | -9 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | NY | 12 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | LAC | 28 | +24.5 | Won |
| Nov 18 | GS | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | HOU | -4 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | BKN | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | NY | 17 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | POR | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | BOS | -4 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | BOS | 13 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 4 | ATL | -15 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | WSH | 31 | +27.5 | Won |
| Oct 30 | CHA | 16 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | DET | -19 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | PHI | -12 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | CHI | -12 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | ATL | -4 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | MIA | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Orlando Magic in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.