This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 49% to break even | 65%–100% | 51 points betterwon 100%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 49% to break even | 35%–81% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 49% to break even | 39%–78% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 49% to break even | 27%–100% | 51 points betterwon 100%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 29 of 6644%needs 49% to break even | 34%–54% | 5 points shortwon 44%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 30 of 6745%needs 49% to break even | 35%–55% | 4 points shortwon 45%, needs 49% |
Tonight ORL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb in each game against under 16.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb | Beat 16.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 9 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 3 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| May 1 | 14 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | 12 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 7 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 18 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 25 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 20 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 17 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 15 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 29 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 13 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 11 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 18 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 15 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 23 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 12 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 28 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 12 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 9 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 21 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 14 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 19 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 32 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 14 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 23 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 18 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 19 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 13 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 4 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 12 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 19 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 26 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 23 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 11 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 20 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 21 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 9 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 14 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 14 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 28 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 9 | 23 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 20 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 25 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 28 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 14 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 18 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 9 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 29 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 20 | 26 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 18 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 21 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 16 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 28 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 14 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 8 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 18 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 14 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 18 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 pts + rebJalen Suggs · Today 7:10 PM ET | -182at BetRivers | 39 of 66· last season59%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 15.5 pts + rebJalen Suggs · Today 7:10 PM ET | -170at Bovada | 38 of 66· last season58%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 16.5 pts + rebJalen Suggs · Today 7:10 PM ET | -117at BetRivers | 37 of 66· last season56%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 17.5 pts + rebJalen Suggs · Today 7:10 PM ET | -105at DraftKings | 31 of 66· last season47%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 19.5 pts + rebJalen Suggs · Today 7:10 PM ET | +168at FanDuel | 21 of 66· last season32%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.