This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 51% to break even | 0%–35% | 51 points shortwon 0%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 51% to break even | 13%–56% | 21 points shortwon 30%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 51% to break even | 17%–54% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 51% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 51% to break even | 0%–73% | 51 points shortwon 0%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 31 of 6647%needs 51% to break even | 37%–57% | 4 points shortwon 47%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 31 of 6746%needs 51% to break even | 37%–56% | 5 points shortwon 46%, needs 51% |
Tonight ORL plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb in each game against over 17.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb | Beat 17.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 3 | 10 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| May 1 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 12 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 7 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 25 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 17 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 15 | 10 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 29 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 11 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 12 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 28 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 12 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 21 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 32 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 4 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 12 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 10 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 26 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 11 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 21 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 10 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 28 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 25 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 28 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 25 | 9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 29 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 26 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 21 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 28 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 10 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 15.5 pts + rebJalen Suggs · Today 7:10 PM ET | +130at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 43% to break even | -2.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 16.5 pts + rebJalen Suggs · Today 7:10 PM ET | +105at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 49% to break even | -6.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 17.5 pts + rebJalen Suggs · Today 7:10 PM ET | -125at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 56% to break even | -7.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.