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NBAPlayer propPoints
Jalen Suggs under 11.5 points
Won5 of 5last 5 games · 100%
Best price+140Bovada
Price needs41.7%wins to break even
Every game26 of 67this season and last
Trend score-3.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 42% to break even | 65%–100% | 58 points betterwon 100%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 42% to break even | 35%–81% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 42% to break even | 33%–72% | 12 points betterwon 53%, needs 42% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 42% to break even | 27%–100% | 58 points betterwon 100%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 25 of 6638%needs 42% to break even | 29%–48% | 4 points shortwon 38%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 26 of 6739%needs 42% to break even | 30%–49% | 3 points shortwon 39%, needs 42% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ORL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Jalen Suggs under 11.5 points1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against under 11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  ATL | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 3 |  DET | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| May 1 | DET | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 29 | DET | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 27 | DET | 5 | +6.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | DET | 15 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 22 | DET | 19 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | DET | 16 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Apr 17 |  CHA | 12 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 15 |  PHI | 4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  BOS | 23 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  CHI | 12 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 8 |  MIN | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 6 | DET | 12 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  NO | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  DAL | 19 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Apr 1 | ATL | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 |  PHX | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 |  TOR | 13 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 26 |  SAC | 8 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  LAL | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 | CHA | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 17 |  OKC | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 | ATL | 8 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  MIA | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 12 |  WSH | 28 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Mar 11 |  CLE | 12 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  MIL | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 | MIN | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 | DAL | 17 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | WSH | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | DET | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 |  HOU | 3 | +8.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 | SAC | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | MIL | 16 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 | MIL | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 |  UTAH | 12 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 5 |  BKN | 15 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 | OKC | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 |  SA | 5 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 30 | TOR | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 | MIA | 16 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 26 | CLE | 4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | CLE | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 | CHI | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 |  IND | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 |  NY | 26 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Dec 9 | MIA | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | NY | 17 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | MIA | 22 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | SA | 24 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 | CHI | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | DET | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 25 | PHI | 4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | NY | 26 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 |  LAC | 23 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 18 |  GS | 13 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | BKN | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | NY | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | BOS | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | BOS | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 4 | ATL | 12 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | WSH | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | DET | 8 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | PHI | 12 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | ATL | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | MIA | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Jalen Suggs in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.