This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 53% to break even | 44%–87% | 17 points betterwon 70%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 53% to break even | 46%–83% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 53% to break even | 27%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 50 of 8261%needs 53% to break even | 52%–69% | 8 points betterwon 61%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 51 of 8361%needs 53% to break even | 52%–70% | 9 points betterwon 61%, needs 53% |
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
UTAH points in each game against under 120.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | UTAH points | Beat 120.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 103 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 107 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 147 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 137 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 111 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 106 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 117 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 113 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 109 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 129 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 110 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 127 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 116 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 128 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 111 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 111 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 114 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 117 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 119 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 99 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 122 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 102 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 125 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 105 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 118 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 105 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 114 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 12 | 119 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 121 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 115 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 117 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 119 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 131 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 100 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 99 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 124 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 103 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 116 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 109 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 127 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 110 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 120 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 122 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 126 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 123 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 95 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 116 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 125 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 117 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 114 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 101 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 119 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 127 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 131 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 128 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 112 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 127 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 135 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 140 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 130 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 101 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 112 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 123 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 133 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 101 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 128 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 117 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 106 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 112 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 126 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 150 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 122 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 152 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 113 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 97 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 103 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 105 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 103 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 96 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 134 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 138 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 104 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 129 | -8.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 118.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 37 of 82· last season45%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -37.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 120.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 32 of 82· last season39%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 122.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 28 of 82· last season34%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 124.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 25 of 82· last season30%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 126.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 21 of 82· last season26%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.