This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 54% to break even | 5%–56% | 34 points shortwon 20%, needs 54% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 54% to break even | 35%–81% | 6 points betterwon 60%, needs 54% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 54% to break even | 46%–83% | 12 points betterwon 67%, needs 54% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 54% to break even | 0%–73% | 54 points shortwon 0%, needs 54% |
| Last season | 52 of 8263%needs 54% to break even | 54%–72% | 9 points betterwon 63%, needs 54% |
| Every game | 52 of 8363%needs 54% to break even | 54%–71% | 8 points betterwon 63%, needs 54% |
Tonight NO plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UTAH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 239.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 234.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 120.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 239.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 243 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 258 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 262 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 293 | -53.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 220 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 230 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 224 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 236 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 225 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 237 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 237 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 217 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 204 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 233 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 240 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 212 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 233 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 256 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 234 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 256 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 211 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 254 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 220 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 247 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 222 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 237 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 257 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 234 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 214 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 234 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 278 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 197 | +42.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 238 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 220 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 199 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 199 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 260 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 216 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 229 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 246 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 229 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 238 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 246 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 235 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 217 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 214 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 231 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 231 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 252 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 255 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 237 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 223 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 259 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 232 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 237 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 261 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 218 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 263 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 267 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 220 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 241 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 291 | -51.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 254 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 200 | +39.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 261 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 273 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 213 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 233 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 243 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 235 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 230 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 222 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 242 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 219 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 245 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 200 | +39.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 228 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 243 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 250 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 210 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 212 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 236 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 250 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 61% to break even |
| -22.4Not beating its price |
| Over 236.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 57% to break even | -23.0Not beating its price |
| Over 237.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 55% to break even | -27.8Not beating its price |
| Over 238.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -25.5Not beating its price |
| Over 239.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -22.7Not beating its price |
| Over 240.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 47% to break even | -22.3Not beating its price |
| Over 241.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 46% to break even | -21.7Not beating its price |
| Over 242.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 44% to break even | -20.1Not beating its price |
| Over 244.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 41% to break even | -22.9Not beating its price |
| Over 245.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 38% to break even | -20.8Not beating its price |
| Over 246.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 37% to break even | -19.8Not beating its price |
| Over 247.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 34% to break even | -17.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 59 of 82· last season72%needs 60% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -8.3Not beating its price |
| Under 114.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 37 of 82· last season45%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.6Not beating its price |
| Under 118.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 54 of 82· last season66%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.0Not beating its price |
| Under 116.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 46 of 82· last season56%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.2Not beating its price |
| Under 122.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 62 of 82· last season76%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.0Not beating its price |
| NO -4.5 1st half spreadNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 34% to break even | -15.2Not beating its price |
| NO -2.5 1st half spreadNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 41% to break even | -17.6Not beating its price |
| NO -1.5 1st half spreadNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 31 of 82· last season38%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.2Not beating its price |
| NO -2.5 3rd quarter spreadNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 42% to break even | -19.7Not beating its price |
| NO +1.5 3rd quarter spreadNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 62% to break even | -19.8Not beating its price |
| Over 124.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 18 of 82· last season22%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.7Not beating its price |
| NO +0.5 3rd quarter spreadNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 57% to break even | -22.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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