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NBAGame lineTeam total
Under 120.5 (team total)
Won59 of 82last season · 72%
Best price-148Kalshi
Price needs59.7%wins to break even
Every game60 of 83this season and last
Trend score-8.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 60% to break even | 27%–86% | evenwon 60%, needs 60% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 60% to break even | 54%–93% | 20 points betterwon 80%, needs 60% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 60% to break even | 52%–87% | 14 points betterwon 73%, needs 60% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 60% to break even | 27%–100% | 40 points betterwon 100%, needs 60% |
| Last season | 59 of 8272%needs 60% to break even | 63%–79% | 12 points betterwon 72%, needs 60% |
| Every game | 60 of 8372%needs 60% to break even | 64%–80% | 13 points betterwon 72%, needs 60% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NO plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UTAH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Under 120.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
NO points in each game against under 120.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | NO points | Beat 120.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  IND | 120 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 |  MIN | 126 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  BOS | 118 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 7 |  UTAH | 156 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  ORL | 108 | +12.5 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  SAC | 113 | +7.5 | Won |
| Apr 2 |  POR | 106 | +14.5 | Won |
| Mar 29 |  HOU | 102 | +18.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 |  TOR | 106 | +14.5 | Won |
| Mar 26 |  DET | 108 | +12.5 | Won |
| Mar 24 |  NY | 116 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  CLE | 106 | +14.5 | Won |
| Mar 19 |  LAC | 105 | +15.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 | LAC | 124 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 |  DAL | 129 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 13 | HOU | 105 | +15.5 | Won |
| Mar 11 | TOR | 122 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  WSH | 138 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 |  PHX | 116 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 | SAC | 133 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 |  LAL | 101 | +19.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | LAC | 117 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | UTAH | 115 | +5.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 | UTAH | 129 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 |  GS | 113 | +7.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 |  PHI | 126 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 |  MIL | 118 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 |  MIA | 111 | +9.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 | SAC | 120 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 6 | MIN | 119 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 4 | MIL | 137 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Feb 2 |  CHA | 95 | +25.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | PHI | 114 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 30 |  MEM | 114 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 27 |  OKC | 95 | +25.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 |  SA | 104 | +16.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 | MEM | 133 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Jan 21 | DET | 104 | +16.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 | HOU | 110 | +10.5 | Won |
| Jan 16 | IND | 119 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 14 |  BKN | 116 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 13 |  DEN | 116 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | ORL | 118 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 | WSH | 128 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 |  ATL | 100 | +20.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 | LAL | 103 | +17.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | MIA | 106 | +14.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 | POR | 109 | +11.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 |  CHI | 118 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 | NY | 125 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | PHX | 114 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 | PHX | 108 | +12.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | CLE | 118 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 22 | DAL | 119 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | IND | 128 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | HOU | 133 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | CHI | 114 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 11 | POR | 143 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Dec 8 | SA | 132 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | BKN | 101 | +19.5 | Won |
| Dec 4 | MIN | 116 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 2 | MIN | 142 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | LAL | 121 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | GS | 96 | +24.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | MEM | 128 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | CHI | 143 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | ATL | 98 | +22.5 | Won |
| Nov 21 | DAL | 115 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 19 | DEN | 118 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 | OKC | 109 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | GS | 106 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 | LAL | 104 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | POR | 117 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | PHX | 98 | +22.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | SA | 119 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | DAL | 101 | +19.5 | Won |
| Nov 4 | CHA | 116 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | OKC | 106 | +14.5 | Won |
| Oct 31 | LAC | 124 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | DEN | 88 | +32.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | BOS | 90 | +30.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | SA | 116 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | MEM | 122 | -1.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 116.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET |  -148at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 60% to break even | -29.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 118.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 52% to break even | -30.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 120.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 23 of 82· last season28%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 122.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 20 of 82· last season24%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 124.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 18 of 82· last season22%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on New Orleans Pelicans in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.