This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 44% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 44% to break even | 19%–65% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 44% to break even | 28%–67% | 3 points betterwon 47%, needs 44% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 44% to break even | 27%–100% | 56 points betterwon 100%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 31 of 8238%needs 44% to break even | 30%–47% | 6 points shortwon 38%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 32 of 8339%needs 44% to break even | 30%–48% | 5 points shortwon 39%, needs 44% |
Tonight NO plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UTAH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against no 1h -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 120.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | -14 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | -31 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | -21 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | -15 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | -9 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 13 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 25 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 17 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 15 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | -14 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 15 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | -13 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 9 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | -10 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | -7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | -12 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | -10 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | -9 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 15 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | -22 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | -20 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | -18 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | -20 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 15 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 16 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -10 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 14 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | -13 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | -12 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | -13 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | -23 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | -23 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | -11 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| 59 of 82· last season72%needs 60% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -8.3Not beating its price |
| Under 114.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 37 of 82· last season45%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.6Not beating its price |
| Under 118.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 54 of 82· last season66%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Under 241.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -105at Hard Rock | 54 of 82· last season66%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Under 237.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 50 of 82· last season61%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price |
| Under 116.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 46 of 82· last season56%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.2Not beating its price |
| Under 238.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 52 of 82· last season63%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Under 122.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 62 of 82· last season76%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Under 244.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 57 of 82· last season70%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.2Not beating its price |
| Under 231.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 34 of 82· last season41%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Under 232.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 35 of 82· last season43%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.6Not beating its price |
| Under 240.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 53 of 82· last season65%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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