This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 44% to break even | 5%–56% | 24 points shortwon 20%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 44% to break even | 7%–46% | 24 points shortwon 20%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 44% to break even | 13%–48% | 17 points shortwon 27%, needs 44% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 44% to break even | 0%–73% | 44 points shortwon 0%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 26 of 8232%needs 44% to break even | 24%–41% | 12 points shortwon 32%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 26 of 8331%needs 44% to break even | 24%–40% | 12 points shortwon 31%, needs 44% |
Tonight UTAH plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q total points in each game against over 64.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 58.5 1st quarter totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 56.5 3rd quarter totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | 1Q total points | Beat 64.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 60 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 54 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 63 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 58 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 65 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 56 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 67 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 60 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 60 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 63 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 53 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 56 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 72 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 49 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 74 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 54 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 66 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 67 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 56 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 37 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 60 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 51 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 67 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 49 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 75 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 60 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 60 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 12 | 59 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 59 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 58 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 63 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 61 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 57 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 51 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 53 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 58 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 47 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 69 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 62 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 63 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 60 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 71 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 59 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 75 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 56 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 59 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 63 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 53 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 62 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 54 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 48 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 69 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 72 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 69 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 68 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 55 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 74 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 73 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 80 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 67 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 65 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 54 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 49 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 63 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 51 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 57 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 61 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 62 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 74 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 63 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 66 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 75 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 72 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 56 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 58 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 58 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 46 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 64 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 54 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 76 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 66 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 55 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 62 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| 32 of 82· last season39%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -17.5Not beating its price |
| Under 60.5 1st quarter totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 42 of 82· last season51%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.5Not beating its price |
| Under 62.5 1st quarter totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 48 of 82· last season59%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Under 64.5 1st quarter totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 56 of 82· last season68%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 63% to break even |
| 9.8Strong |
| Over 60.5 3rd quarter totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 45% to break even | 3.1Good |
| Over 234.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 61% to break even | -0.8Not beating its price |
| Under 114.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 35% to break even | -1.5Not beating its price |
| Over 237.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 55% to break even | -2.4Not beating its price |
| Over 241.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 46% to break even | -2.5Not beating its price |
| Under 118.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 45 of 82· last season55%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.5Not beating its price |
| Under 116.5 team totalUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 39% to break even | -2.6Not beating its price |
| Over 242.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 44% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Over 236.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 57% to break even | -2.8Not beating its price |
| Over 240.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 47% to break even | -3.1Not beating its price |
| Over 245.5 game total, UTAH gamesUtah Jazz · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 40 of 82· last season49%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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