This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 52% to break even | 13%–56% | 22 points shortwon 30%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 52% to break even | 17%–54% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 52% to break even | 27%–100% | 48 points betterwon 100%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 28 of 8234%needs 52% to break even | 26%–43% | 18 points shortwon 34%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 29 of 8335%needs 52% to break even | 27%–44% | 17 points shortwon 35%, needs 52% |
Tonight NO plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UTAH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
NO points in each game against over 118.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 114.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 241.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | NO points | Beat 118.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 120 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 126 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 118 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 156 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 108 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 113 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 106 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 102 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 106 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 108 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 116 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 106 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 105 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 124 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 129 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 105 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 122 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 138 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 116 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 133 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 101 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 117 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 115 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 129 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 113 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 126 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 118 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 111 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 120 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 119 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 137 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 95 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 114 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 114 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 95 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 104 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 133 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 104 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 110 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 119 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 116 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 116 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 118 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 128 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 100 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 103 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 106 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 109 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 118 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 125 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 114 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 108 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 118 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 119 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 128 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 133 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 114 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 143 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 132 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 101 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 116 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 142 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 121 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 96 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 128 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 143 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 98 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 115 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 118 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 109 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 106 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 104 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 117 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 98 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 119 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 101 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 116 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 106 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 124 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 88 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 90 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 116 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 122 | +3.5 | Won | |
| 37 of 82· last season45%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -8.6Not beating its price |
| Under 116.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 46 of 82· last season56%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.2Not beating its price |
| Under 118.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 54 of 82· last season66%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.0Not beating its price |
| Under 120.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 59 of 82· last season72%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.3Not beating its price |
| Under 122.5 team totalNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 62 of 82· last season76%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 54 of 82· last season66%needs 51% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.7Not beating its price |
| Under 237.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 50 of 82· last season61%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price |
| Under 238.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 52 of 82· last season63%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Under 244.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -164at Polymarket | 57 of 82· last season70%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.1Not beating its price |
| NO -4.5 1st half spreadNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 34% to break even | -15.2Not beating its price |
| Under 231.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 34 of 82· last season41%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Under 232.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 35 of 82· last season43%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.6Not beating its price |
| Under 240.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 53 of 82· last season65%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.8Not beating its price |
| Under 239.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 52 of 82· last season63%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.0Not beating its price |
| Under 234.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 41 of 82· last season50%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price |
| Under 236.5 game total, NO gamesNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 45 of 82· last season55%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price |
| NO -2.5 1st half spreadNew Orleans Pelicans · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 41% to break even | -17.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.